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Eredivisie

Referee: M Vos

Volendam

T T S T U

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

4,3

Scored

1,7

3,2

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,45 xG 1,40

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Volendam 12. · AZ Alkmaar 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
4	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.4	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-4	-0.4	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.3	2
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.1	1
14	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
12	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
13	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
9	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
10	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
12	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
13	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
14	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.