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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Bartosz Frankowski

Lech Poznan

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

50%

63%

Points per game

1,8

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

88%

50%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 6. · Jagiellonia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	1	3	+7	-0.2	19
2	Cracovia	9	5	3	1	+7	+2.5	18
3	Korona Kielce	10	5	3	2	+7	-2.1	18
4	Wisla Plock	9	5	2	2	+5	+6.2	17
5	Jagiellonia	8	5	2	1	+4	-2.5	17
6	Lech Poznan	8	4	2	2	+1	+6.0	14
7	Legia	8	3	3	2	+5	+3.6	12
8	Radomiak Radom	9	3	2	4	-1	-0.1	11
9	Rakow	9	3	2	4	-3	-0.3	11
10	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-7	-2.9	11
11	Zaglebie	8	2	4	2	+3	-1.8	10
12	Widzew Lodz	10	3	1	6	+0	+2.2	10
13	Motor Lublin	8	2	4	2	-3	-1.0	10
14	Pogon Szczecin	9	3	1	5	-4	+2.0	10
15	Nieciecza	10	2	3	5	-4	-0.2	9
16	Arka Gdynia	9	2	3	4	-5	-3.8	9
17	GKS Katowice	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.8	8
18	Piast Gliwice	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	6	4	1	1	+5	+5.2	13
2	Korona Kielce	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.0	12
3	Cracovia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.6	11
4	Radomiak Radom	5	3	1	1	+6	+1.2	10
5	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+4	+1.1	10
6	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	+1.4	9
7	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
8	Legia	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
9	Arka Gdynia	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
11	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.0	7
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-2	+4.2	7
13	Zaglebie	4	1	3	0	+4	+1.2	6
14	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
15	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.1	5
16	Motor Lublin	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
17	Rakow	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.1	2
18	Nieciecza	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+4	-1.7	10
2	Rakow	5	3	0	2	-1	+0.8	9
3	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	+2	–	8
4	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.5	8
5	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
7	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.2	6
8	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.9	5
9	Legia	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
10	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
11	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	1	3	-5	+1.6	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-9	-4.2	4
14	Piast Gliwice	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.8	2
15	Radomiak Radom	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.3	1
16	Arka Gdynia	5	0	1	4	-7	-2.0	1
17	GKS Katowice	5	0	1	4	-10	-3.9	1
18	Widzew Lodz	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.