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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Korona Kielce

U U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

38%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,36 xG 2,01

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 9. · Lech Poznan 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	21	10	7	4	+13	-1.9	37
2	Gornik Zabrze	22	10	4	8	+4	-3.3	34
3	Rakow	22	10	4	8	+3	+6.0	34
4	Wisla Plock	22	8	9	5	+6	+2.2	33
5	Cracovia	22	8	9	5	+5	+3.7	33
6	Zaglebie	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.9	32
7	Lech Poznan	21	8	8	5	+4	+13.5	32
8	Lechia Gdansk	21	9	5	7	+3	+1.1	32
9	Korona Kielce	21	8	6	7	+4	-2.6	30
10	Radomiak Radom	21	7	7	7	+3	+0.2	28
11	Pogon Szczecin	22	8	4	10	-3	+10.6	28
12	GKS Katowice	21	8	3	10	-3	-7.3	27
13	Motor Lublin	22	6	9	7	-7	-6.4	27
14	Piast Gliwice	22	7	5	10	-3	-7.6	26
15	Arka Gdynia	21	7	4	10	-17	-7.1	25
16	Legia	22	5	9	8	-2	+0.8	24
17	Widzew Lodz	22	7	3	12	-3	+4.6	24
18	Nieciecza	22	5	6	11	-13	-5.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.6	24
2	Arka Gdynia	11	7	3	1	+5	-2.9	24
3	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	1	4	+9	+2.5	22
4	Radomiak Radom	10	6	2	2	+13	+6.9	20
5	Zaglebie	11	5	5	1	+11	+2.9	20
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	2	3	+7	+9.5	20
7	Jagiellonia	9	6	1	2	+10	+1.9	19
8	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	3	2	+9	+2.4	18
9	Cracovia	10	4	5	1	+5	+6.3	17
10	GKS Katowice	11	5	2	4	+1	-2.4	17
11	Legia	11	4	4	3	+4	+1.3	16
12	Lech Poznan	11	4	4	3	+2	+9.9	16
13	Motor Lublin	11	3	6	2	+1	+1.2	15
14	Widzew Lodz	11	4	3	4	+1	+3.0	15
15	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.6	15
16	Rakow	11	4	3	4	+0	+2.4	15
17	Korona Kielce	10	4	2	4	+2	+2.4	14
18	Nieciecza	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	6	1	4	+3	+3.6	19
2	Jagiellonia	12	4	6	2	+3	-3.9	18
3	Korona Kielce	11	4	4	3	+2	-5.0	16
4	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	+2	+3.6	16
5	Cracovia	12	4	4	4	+0	-2.6	16
6	Lechia Gdansk	11	4	2	5	-6	-1.2	14
7	Nieciecza	11	3	3	5	-5	-2.8	12
8	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-5	-5.8	12
9	Zaglebie	10	3	3	4	-5	-3.8	12
10	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	-8	-7.7	12
11	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-4	-7.0	11
12	GKS Katowice	10	3	1	6	-4	-4.9	10
13	Wisla Plock	10	1	6	3	-2	-1.3	9
14	Widzew Lodz	11	3	0	8	-4	+1.6	9
15	Legia	11	1	5	5	-6	-0.4	8
16	Radomiak Radom	11	1	5	5	-10	-6.7	8
17	Pogon Szczecin	11	2	2	7	-10	+1.1	8
18	Arka Gdynia	10	0	1	9	-22	-4.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.