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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

AEK

S S U S U

4–0

Full-time

Levadeiakos

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Levadeiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 59%

70%

48%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

30%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

35%

70%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,58 xG 0,25

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Levadeiakos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	24	16	6	2	+31	+4.3	54
2	AEK	23	16	5	2	+25	+2.7	53
3	PAOK	23	15	6	2	+30	+2.8	51
4	Levadeiakos	23	11	8	4	+24	-1.6	41
5	Panathinaikos	22	10	7	5	+9	+1.2	37
6	Aris Thessalonikis	22	6	10	6	-3	-1.5	28
7	Aris	22	6	10	6	-3	–	28
8	OFI Crete	22	9	1	12	-7	-3.1	28
9	Volos NFC	24	8	3	13	-13	+1.3	27
10	Atromitos	23	6	6	11	-5	+0.8	24
11	Panetolikos	24	7	3	14	-13	-2.5	24
12	Larisa	24	5	9	10	-13	-0.8	24
13	Kifisia	23	4	10	9	-7	+0.6	22
14	Asteras Tripolis	24	3	8	13	-16	-0.2	17
15	Panserraikos	23	3	4	16	-39	-3.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	12	10	2	0	+21	+0.6	32
2	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	+2.2	31
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
5	Panathinaikos	10	6	3	1	+10	+0.2	21
6	OFI Crete	12	6	0	6	+6	-1.5	18
7	Volos NFC	11	4	3	4	-4	+1.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	2	8	1	+1	+0.1	14
9	Aris	11	2	8	1	+1	–	14
10	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-8	-0.5	14
11	Asteras Tripolis	12	2	5	5	-2	+0.1	11
12	Kifisia	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.6	10
13	Panserraikos	11	3	1	7	-15	-3.0	10
14	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9
15	Atromitos	12	1	4	7	-6	+0.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	+2.7	25
2	Olympiakos	12	6	5	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	PAOK	11	5	4	2	+9	+2.2	19
4	Levadeiakos	11	4	5	2	+5	+0.5	17
5	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+1	-0.1	17
6	Panathinaikos	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.9	16
7	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.9	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.6	14
9	Aris	11	4	2	5	-4	–	14
10	Kifisia	12	2	6	4	-5	-1.0	12
11	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
12	Larisa	11	2	4	5	-5	-0.2	10
13	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	3	8	-14	-0.4	6
15	Panserraikos	12	0	3	9	-24	-0.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.