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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Hamburg
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
FC Ingolstadt 04
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg FC Ingolstadt 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -16 Hamburg – FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 22. Sep -15 FC Ingolstadt 04 – Hamburg 0–1

Match report

Hamburg FC Ingolstadt 04
7′
🟨 Markus Suttner
1–0 B. Wood ⚽
R. Adler
30′
Gotoku Sakai 🟨
32′
33′
🟨 Alfredo Morales
Half-time 1–0
D. Diekmeier 🔁
↦ G. Jung
66′
A. Halilović 🔁
↦ N. Müller
66′
66′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ M. Hartmann
P. Lasogga 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
67′
79′
⚽ L. Hinterseer 1–1
81′
🔁 A. Cohen
↦ A. Morales
Johan Djourou 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 S. Lex
↦ D. Lezcano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Adler
5 J. Djourou
24 G. Sakai D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
3 Cleber Reis D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
27 N. Müller M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
17 F. Kostić M
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
2 D. Diekmeier
23 A. Halilović
10 P. Lasogga
8 L. Holtby
15 L. Waldschmidt
21 N. Bahoui
31 C. Mathenia

Coach: B. Labbadia

FC Ingolstadt 04

4-3-3
1 Ø. Nyland G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
18 R. Brégerie D
8 Roger M
6 A. Morales M
10 P. Groß F
11 D. Lezcano F
9 M. Hartmann F
7 M. Leckie M
Bench (7)
16 L. Hinterseer
36 A. Cohen
14 S. Lex
3 A. Jung
17 H. Wahl
33 F. Hadergjonaj
35 M. Hansen

Coach: M. Kauczinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.