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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sarpsborg 08
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Viking
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
42%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Viking 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 24 18 5 1 +38 59
2 Brann 24 12 5 7 +12 41
3 Odd 24 12 5 7 +8 41
4 Haugesund 24 11 7 6 +5 40
5 Molde 24 11 5 8 +5 38
6 Viking 24 10 6 8 -2 36
7 Sarpsborg 08 24 10 6 8 -3 36
8 Stromsgodset 24 10 5 9 +3 35
9 Sogndal 24 7 10 7 +0 31
10 Valerenga 24 8 6 10 +0 30
11 Tromso 24 8 6 10 -5 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 24 7 6 11 -5 27
13 Aalesund 24 7 5 12 -11 26
14 Stabaek 24 6 6 12 -6 24
15 Lillestrom 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Start 24 0 9 15 -32 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Viking
1–0 O. Ugwuadu
A. Østli
6′
Half-time 1–0
Jonas Lindberg 🟨
50′
62′
🔁 Z. Bytyqi
↦ T. Aasheim
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 P. Steiring
↦ J. Jørgensen
71′
🔁 M. Haukås
↦ C. Dawson
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ J. Tveita
80′
P. Kirkevold 🔁
↦ O. Ugwuadu
81′
M. Lund Nielsen 🔁
↦ A. Mbedule
86′
87′
🟨 Michael Haukas
Alexander Groven 🟨
90′
Anders Trondsen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Claes Kronberg
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
1 A. Østbø G
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
8 O. Ugwuadu
24 A. Mbedule F
Bench (7)
23 K. Hansen
7 P. Kirkevold
5 M. Lund Nielsen
4 M. Sundli
18 T. Hovda
19 K. Jónsson
21 A. Kristiansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Viking

4-3-3
1 I. Austbø G
14 A. Danielsen M
22 C. Kronberg D
6 K. Mets D
18 J. Ryerson M
4 J. Jørgensen D
16 A. Ibrahim M
20 T. Aasheim M
8 C. Dawson M
9 P. Pedersen
7 S. Adegbenro F
Bench (6)
11 Z. Bytyqi
13 P. Steiring
19 M. Haukås
24 P. Heigre
25 U. Sale
27 M. Bringaker

Coach: K. Jonevret

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.