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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Wolves
T U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Barnsley
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 46%
63%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 2. · Barnsley 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 8 5 2 1 +11 17
2 Wolves 8 5 2 1 +5 17
3 Cardiff 8 5 2 1 +5 17
4 Preston 8 4 3 1 +6 15
5 Ipswich 7 5 0 2 +4 15
6 Sheffield United 8 5 0 3 +2 15
7 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Middlesbrough 7 4 1 2 +5 13
9 Sheffield Weds 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Nott'm Forest 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Norwich 8 3 2 3 -4 11
13 Fulham 8 2 4 2 +1 10
14 Derby 7 3 1 3 +0 10
15 Millwall 8 2 3 3 +2 9
16 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 +1 9
17 Hull 8 2 2 4 -1 8
18 Reading 7 2 2 3 -1 8
19 Burton Albion 8 2 2 4 -9 8
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 -3 7
21 Sunderland 8 1 3 4 -5 6
22 Brentford 8 0 4 4 -5 4
23 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 -8 4
24 Bolton 8 0 2 6 -12 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Barnsley
27′
🟨 Joe Williams
Half-time 0–0
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ Rúben Vinagre
46′
Rúben Neves 🟨
47′
Conor Coady 🟨
57′
B. Enobakhare 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
65′
Romain Saïss 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ H. Barnes
A. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ R. Saïss
80′
1–0 B. Enobakhare
A. N'Diaye
80′
82′
🔁 C. McGeehan
↦ G. Moncur
82′
🔁 I. Ugbo
↦ B. Potts
91′
A. Jackson 1–1
2–1 A. N'Diaye
Léo Bonatini
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
6 D. Batth D
25 Roderick D
2 M. Doherty M
29 Rúben Vinagre M
16 C. Coady D
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
33 Léo Bonatini F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
3 B. Douglas
26 B. Enobakhare
4 A. N'Diaye
12 B. Marshall
17 Hélder Costa
19 J. Price
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Barnsley

4-1-4-1
1 A. Davies G
18 A. Jackson D
24 M. Pearson D
6 L. Lindsay D
2 J. McCarthy D
7 A. Hammill M
10 G. Moncur M
20 B. Potts M
4 J. Williams M
15 H. Barnes F
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
34 R. Hedges
8 C. McGeehan
19 I. Ugbo
5 A. MacDonald
13 N. Townsend
16 E. Pinnock
26 M. Thiam

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.