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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Ath Madrid
U S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Sevilla
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
2,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Sevilla 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Sevilla 5 4 1 0 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Levante 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Sociedad 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Betis 5 3 0 2 -1 9
8 Real Madrid 5 2 2 1 +4 8
9 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Las Palmas 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Girona 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Espanol 5 1 2 2 -5 5
17 Celta 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
19 Alaves 5 0 0 5 -8 0
20 Malaga 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Sevilla
Gabi 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. Carrasco
46′
Yannick Carrasco 🟨
47′
49′
🟨 Luis Muriel
53′
🟨 Gabriel Mercado
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ L. Vietto
57′
58′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Pablo Sarabia
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ L. Muriel
2–0 A. Griezmann
Filipe Luis
69′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
72′
Ángel Correa 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 M. Krohn-Dehli
↦ G. Mercado
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
81′
84′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
3 Filipe Luis D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
19 L. Hernández D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
7 A. Griezmann F
17 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
11 Á. Correa
5 T. Partey
21 K. Gameiro
1 Moyà
2 D. Godín
20 Juanfran
22 N. Gaitán

Coach: D. Simeone

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Sergio Rico G
25 G. Mercado D
6 Daniel Carriço D
3 L. Carole D
5 C. Lenglet D
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 L. Muriel F
Bench (7)
11 J. Correa
9 W. Ben Yedder
7 M. Krohn-Dehli
2 S. Corchia
13 David Soria
14 G. Pizarro
21 N. Pareja

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.