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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Sarpsborg 08
S T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Stabaek
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
56%
72%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 10. · Stabaek 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 16 6 3 +29 54
2 Molde 25 14 5 6 +23 47
3 Viking 25 13 5 7 +7 44
4 Rosenborg 25 12 6 7 +17 42
5 Lillestrom 25 12 5 8 +6 41
6 Kristiansund 25 12 4 9 -3 40
7 Valerenga 25 9 10 6 +7 37
8 Stromsgodset 25 9 6 10 +4 33
9 Haugesund 25 9 5 11 +3 32
10 Sarpsborg 08 25 9 5 11 -8 32
11 Tromso 25 7 8 10 -10 29
12 Odd 25 7 8 10 -11 29
13 Sandefjord 25 8 5 12 -12 29
14 Stabaek 25 5 6 14 -23 21
15 Brann 25 4 8 13 -17 20
16 Mjondalen 25 3 10 12 -12 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
1–0 J. Lindseth
E. Wichne
5′
Ben Kantie Karamoko 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ B. Karamoko
46′
46′
🔁 N. Jenssen
↦ J. Moe
46′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ Tomás Podstawski
O. Halvorsen 🔁
↦ E. Wichne
64′
K. Opseth 🔁
↦ I. Koné
64′
69′
🟨 Mathis Bolly
73′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ F. Azemi
2–0 K. Opseth
O. Halvorsen
75′
3–0 J. Lindseth
J. Soltvedt
78′
S. Jarl 🔁
↦ B. Utvik
79′
79′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ K. Pedersen
79′
M. Bolly 3–1
4–1 K. Opseth
D. Čanađija
86′
87′
🔁 P. Kirkevold
↦ O. Edvardsen
R. Muhammed 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-2-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
24 M. Dyrestam M
5 M. Ødegård D
28 B. Karamoko D
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne M
77 D. Čanađija M
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard F
11 J. Lindseth F
29 I. Koné F
Bench (7)
17 J. Soltvedt
7 O. Halvorsen
22 K. Opseth
18 S. Jarl
10 R. Muhammed
14 A. Camara
1 S. Nilsen

Coach: L. Bohinen

Stabaek

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
2 K. Pedersen D
19 V. Wernersson D
18 J. Moe D
5 I. Mesík D
15 S. Ottesen D
8 F. Haugen M
26 Tomás Podstawski M
10 M. Solbakken M
17 F. Azemi F
23 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (9)
27 N. Jenssen
7 M. Bolly
11 K. Hansen
80 H. Geelmuyden
9 P. Kirkevold
24 K. Kostadinov
29 K. Harrison
1 M. Ulla
16 M. Høyland

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.