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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Lillestrom
T U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Valerenga
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
56%
Both score Ø 72%
68%
76%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Valerenga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 26 16 7 3 +29 55
2 Molde 26 15 5 6 +25 50
3 Viking 26 14 5 7 +8 47
4 Rosenborg 26 12 7 7 +17 43
5 Kristiansund 26 13 4 9 -1 43
6 Lillestrom 25 12 5 8 +6 41
7 Valerenga 25 9 10 6 +7 37
8 Sarpsborg 08 26 10 5 11 -5 35
9 Stromsgodset 26 9 7 10 +4 34
10 Haugesund 26 9 6 11 +3 33
11 Tromso 26 7 9 10 -10 30
12 Odd 26 7 8 11 -13 29
13 Sandefjord 26 8 5 13 -14 29
14 Brann 26 4 9 13 -17 21
15 Stabaek 26 5 6 15 -26 21
16 Mjondalen 26 3 10 13 -13 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Valerenga
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ S. Jatta
Daniel Gustafsson 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Jonatan Nation
81′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ V. Kjartansson
J. Braut-Brunes 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
88′
89′
🔁 J. Eng
↦ A. Layouni
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
21 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
17 J. Braut-Brunes
1 K. Skjærstein
15 J. Baccay
31 M. Bergum
14 F. Krogstad
33 H. Skogvold
18 U. Mathisen
22 P. Slørdahl
3 S. Mikalsen

Coach: G. Bakke

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
4 J. Nation D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal D
9 V. Kjartansson F
11 A. Layouni F
17 T. Christensen M
26 O. Sahraoui M
19 S. Jatta F
Bench (8)
15 O. Holm
14 H. Udahl
27 J. Eng
6 N. Thomsen
16 M. Emilsen
3 B. Skaret
21 M. Dyngeland
2 C. Borchgrevink

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.