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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Genk
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 4/7 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
75%
43%
Both score Ø 59%
75%
43%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Oostende 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 7 5 1 1 +3 16
2 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 Antwerp 8 4 3 1 +4 15
4 Waregem 7 4 1 2 +10 13
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
7 Beveren 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Kortrijk 8 2 3 3 -3 9
9 Anderlecht 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Genk 4 2 1 1 +2 7
11 Lokeren 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 Gent 5 1 1 3 -1 4
13 Mechelen 7 0 4 3 -4 4
14 Eupen 7 1 1 5 -14 4
15 Standard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Oostende 7 0 1 6 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
24′
🟨 Aleksandar Bjelica
40′
🟨 Sébastien Siani
43′
🟨 Andile Jali
1–0 R. Malinovskiy
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Vandendriessche
↦ F. Berrier
Ruslan Malinovskiy 🟨
56′
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 B. Capon
↦ R. Rezaeian
74′
Z. Gano 1–1
A. Jali
M. Ingvartsen 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskiy
77′
84′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ Z. Gano
T. Buffel 🔁
↦ M. Benson
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 D. Vuković G
3 B. Nastić D
15 O. Colley D
45 J. Aidoo D
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
27 Clinton Mata D
29 M. Benson M
25 S. Berge M
10 M. Samatta F
22 S. Schrijvers F
Bench (8)
9 M. Ingvartsen
19 T. Buffel
31 J. Mæhle
30 N. Jackers
28 B. Heynen
8 E. Zhegrova
5 A. Khammas
2 J. Brabec

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Oostende

4-4-2
1 M. Vanhamel G
6 N. Lombaerts D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
24 R. Rezaeian D
44 A. Milić D
16 A. Bjelica D
7 S. Siani M
10 F. Berrier M
15 A. Jali M
11 K. Musona F
93 Z. Gano F
Bench (7)
26 K. Vandendriessche
27 B. Capon
17 J. Akpala
55 Fernando Canesin
18 D. Rozehnal
28 W. Dutoît
20 M. Jonckheere

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.