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La Liga

Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega

Vallecano

T S T T S

1–5

Full-time

Alaves

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 18. · Alaves 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Celta	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Girona	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Alaves	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Levante	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
6	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Alaves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.