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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Wolfsburg
T S S S U
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

72% Possession 28%
19 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · Freiburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 RB Leipzig 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Hannover 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Nurnberg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Stuttgart 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Freiburg 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Freiburg
7′
R. Sallai 0–1
L. Kübler
21′
N. Petersen 0–2
26′
🟨 Roland Sallai
41′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ R. Sallai
Half-time 0–2
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
46′
50′
M. Frantz 0–3
L. Waldschmidt
1–3 A. Mehmedi
W. Weghorst
61′
67′
🔁 P. Lienhart
↦ M. Frantz
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ Y. Gerhardt
68′
75′
🟨 Nicolas Höfler
75′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ M. Terrazzino
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
85′
90′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
4 Ignacio Camacho M
14 A. Mehmedi M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
33 D. Ginczek
7 J. Brekalo
10 Y. Mallı
3 P. Verhaegh
12 P. Pervan
17 F. Uduokhai
37 E. Rexhbecaj

Coach: B. Labbadia

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
23 D. Heintz D
30 C. Günter D
25 R. Koch M
8 M. Frantz M
27 N. Höfler M
22 R. Sallai M
18 N. Petersen F
13 M. Terrazzino M
Bench (7)
11 L. Waldschmidt
3 P. Lienhart
7 F. Niederlechner
14 P. Kammerbauer
16 Y. Ravet
26 M. Flekken
36 C. Okoroji

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.