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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Cardiff
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Reading
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 15. · Reading 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Reading 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Bristol City 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Luton 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Bournemouth 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Norwich 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Millwall 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 +4 3
12 Brentford 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 QPR 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Huddersfield 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Preston 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -2 1
21 Derby 2 0 0 2 -3 0
22 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 -3 0
23 Nott'm Forest 3 0 0 3 -5 0
24 Wycombe 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Reading
Junior Hoilett 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–1
47′
⚽ M. Morrison 0–1
M. Olise
Kieffer Moore 🟨
53′
L. Tomlin 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
61′
61′
🔁 T. Holmes
↦ Felipe Araruna
66′
⚽ Lucas João 0–2
J. Laurent
R. Glatzel 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
74′
78′
🔁 T. Mcintyre
↦ Y. Meïté
1–2 L. Tomlin ⚽
81′
86′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ Lucas João
90′
🟨 Michael Olise
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ G. Cunningham
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
12 A. Smithies G
4 S. Morrison D
18 G. Cunningham D
16 C. Nelson D
2 J. Osei-Tutu D
7 L. Bacuna M
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
33 J. Hoilett M
10 K. Moore F
27 S. Ojo M
Bench (7)
17 L. Tomlin
9 R. Glatzel
11 J. Murphy
20 G. Whyte
32 J. Bagan
25 J. Day
22 S. Bamba

Coach: N. Harris

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
11 Y. Meïté M
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
20 Felipe Araruna D
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
29 T. Holmes
5 T. Mcintyre
47 G. Puşcaş
9 S. Baldock
15 L. Gibson
22 L. Southwood
24 S. Aluko

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,36
B ✓
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.