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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

18 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 1

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 8. · Holstein Kiel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Holstein Kiel	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+6	9
4	Regensburg	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Bochum	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	+1	7
7	Osnabruck	5	1	4	0	+1	7
8	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Greuther Furth	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Darmstadt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Nurnberg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Heidenheim	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Sandhausen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Bochum	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Heidenheim	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Osnabruck	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Darmstadt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Osnabruck	3	0	3	0	+0	3
6	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
8	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Regensburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Paderborn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Wurzburger Kickers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.