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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Thomsen

Holstein Kiel

T S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Hansa Rostock

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Hansa Rostock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

78%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,9

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 8. · Hansa Rostock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	8	0	2	+10	24
2	Darmstadt	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Paderborn	10	6	1	3	+14	19
4	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Heidenheim	9	4	4	1	+7	16
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Kaiserslautern	9	3	5	1	+3	14
8	Holstein Kiel	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	Karlsruhe	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	Regensburg	9	3	2	4	-7	11
12	St Pauli	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Bielefeld	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Sandhausen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-9	8
17	Greuther Furth	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Magdeburg	9	2	1	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Kaiserslautern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	-2	8
11	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Braunschweig	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Bielefeld	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Greuther Furth	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
18	Magdeburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Heidenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Kaiserslautern	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Holstein Kiel	5	1	2	2	-6	5
7	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Magdeburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Bielefeld	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	St Pauli	5	0	2	3	-5	2
16	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.