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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Hansa Rostock

S T T T U

2–5

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

29%

58%

Both score Ø 44%

29%

58%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hansa Rostock 16. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	25	15	7	3	+19	52
2	Heidenheim	25	14	8	3	+23	50
3	Hamburg	25	15	4	6	+16	49
4	Paderborn	25	12	4	9	+17	40
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	12	3	9	+8	39
6	Kaiserslautern	25	10	9	6	+5	39
7	St Pauli	24	10	8	6	+6	38
8	Holstein Kiel	25	8	10	7	+1	34
9	Karlsruhe	25	10	4	11	+1	34
10	Hannover	24	8	7	9	+1	31
11	Greuther Furth	25	7	9	9	-4	30
12	Nurnberg	25	8	5	12	-15	29
13	Magdeburg	25	8	4	13	-14	28
14	Regensburg	25	7	5	13	-15	26
15	Bielefeld	25	7	4	14	-5	25
16	Hansa Rostock	24	7	4	13	-13	25
17	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-14	22
18	Sandhausen	24	5	6	13	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	13	10	3	0	+22	33
2	Darmstadt	13	8	5	0	+14	29
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	2	2	+14	26
4	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+12	26
5	Hamburg	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
7	Greuther Furth	13	6	6	1	+6	24
8	Kaiserslautern	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Karlsruhe	13	6	2	5	+2	20
10	Nurnberg	12	6	1	5	+0	19
11	Hannover	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	-6	17
13	Holstein Kiel	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	Bielefeld	13	5	1	7	+1	16
15	Braunschweig	12	4	3	5	+0	15
16	Magdeburg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-7	12
18	Hansa Rostock	12	3	1	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	7	2	3	+5	23
2	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Kaiserslautern	13	5	4	4	+2	19
4	Holstein Kiel	13	4	6	3	-2	18
5	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+1	17
6	Paderborn	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Magdeburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
8	Hansa Rostock	12	4	3	5	-5	15
9	Karlsruhe	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	1	7	-6	13
12	St Pauli	12	3	3	6	-6	12
13	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
14	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Regensburg	12	3	0	9	-9	9
16	Sandhausen	13	2	3	8	-10	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	4	7	-14	7
18	Greuther Furth	12	1	3	8	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.