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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Bielefeld
S T T T T
2–0
Full-time
St Pauli
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 18. · St Pauli 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Paderborn 13 8 2 3 +20 26
3 Hamburg 12 8 1 3 +7 25
4 Hannover 13 6 3 4 +5 21
5 Heidenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Holstein Kiel 13 5 5 3 +0 20
7 Kaiserslautern 13 4 7 2 +2 19
8 Regensburg 13 5 3 5 -4 18
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 5 2 5 +5 17
10 Karlsruhe 12 5 2 5 +4 17
11 Braunschweig 13 4 4 5 -6 16
12 St Pauli 12 3 5 4 +1 14
13 Nurnberg 13 4 2 7 -9 14
14 Hansa Rostock 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Sandhausen 13 3 3 7 -6 12
16 Greuther Furth 12 1 7 4 -5 10
17 Magdeburg 12 3 1 8 -12 10
18 Bielefeld 12 2 2 8 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld St Pauli
Ivan Lepinjica 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–0
J. Serra 🔁
↦ F. Klos
60′
64′
🔁 D. Otto
↦ E. Amenyido
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ J. Consbruch
68′
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ L. Klünter
68′
1–0 J. Serra
M. Okugawa
76′
81′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ A. Dźwigała
81′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ A. Aremu
81′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ L. Daschner
2–0 J. Serra
C. Gebauer
84′
86′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
88′
🔁 J. Eggestein
↦ J. Irvine
91′
🟨 Eric Smith
Guilherme Ramos 🔁
↦ R. Hack
91′
M. Prietl 🔁
↦ M. Rzatkowski
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
33 M. Fraisl G
2 L. Klünter D
6 O. Hüsing D
30 A. Andrade D
5 B. Oczipka D
13 I. Lepinjica M
16 M. Rzatkowski M
21 R. Hack M
14 J. Consbruch M
11 M. Okugawa M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
23 J. Serra
10 B. Lasme
7 C. Gebauer
3 Guilherme Ramos
19 M. Prietl
22 S. Sidler
35 A. Schulz
24 G. Bello
37 B. Kanurić

Coach: D. Scherning

St Pauli

3-5-2
22 N. Vasilj G
25 A. Dźwigała D
8 E. Smith D
5 B. Fazliji D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
20 A. Aremu M
10 M. Hartel M
23 L. Paqarada M
14 E. Amenyido F
13 L. Daschner F
Bench (9)
27 D. Otto
21 L. Ritzka
24 C. Metcalfe
34 I. Matanović
11 J. Eggestein
32 J. Wieckhoff
30 S. Burchert
1 D. Smarsch
15 M. Beifus

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,05
U
3,54
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.