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2. Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Hansa Rostock
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Paderborn
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
58%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
45%
70%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 17. · Paderborn 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 33 19 9 5 +25 66
2 Holstein Kiel 33 20 5 8 +25 65
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 17 9 7 +31 60
4 Hamburg 33 16 7 10 +17 55
5 Karlsruhe 33 14 10 9 +17 52
6 Hannover 33 13 13 7 +16 52
7 Paderborn 33 14 7 12 -1 49
8 Hertha 33 13 9 11 +11 48
9 Greuther Furth 33 13 8 12 -1 47
10 Schalke 04 33 12 7 14 -5 43
11 Elversberg 33 12 7 14 -11 43
12 Nurnberg 33 11 7 15 -18 40
13 Magdeburg 33 9 11 13 -7 38
14 Braunschweig 33 11 5 17 -11 38
15 Kaiserslautern 33 10 6 17 -10 36
16 Wehen 33 8 8 17 -13 32
17 Hansa Rostock 33 9 4 20 -26 31
18 Osnabruck 33 5 10 18 -39 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Paderborn
41′
🔁 J. Heuer
↦ D. Kinsombi
Half-time 0–0
J. Perea 🔁
↦ S. Rhein
46′
1–0 N. Fröling
48′
59′
🔁 S. Conteh
↦ C. Brackelmann
59′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ I. Ansah
S. Vasiliadis 🔁
↦ N. Fröling
64′
69′
🔁 R. Leipertz
↦ F. Bilbija
69′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ S. Klaas
72′
F. Platte 1–1
R. Leipertz
J. Strauß 🔁
↦ K. Schumacher
79′
S. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
79′
83′
🟨 Visar Musliu
O. Hüsing 🔁
↦ J. David
85′
Sebastian Vasiliadis 🟨
87′
87′
A. Grimaldi 1–2
A. Zehnter
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

5-4-1
1 M. Kolke G
7 N. Neidhart D
17 J. David D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
13 K. Schumacher D
10 N. Fröling M
8 S. Rhein M
6 D. Dressel M
14 S. Ingelsson M
26 J. Bachmann F
Bench (9)
18 J. Perea
19 S. Vasiliadis
24 J. Strauß
45 S. Guðjohnsen
5 O. Hüsing
40 M. Johansson
22 J. van der Werff
34 J. Lang
27 C. Kinsombi

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Paderborn

3-4-3
1 P. Boevink G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
16 V. Musliu D
4 C. Brackelmann D
8 D. Kinsombi M
27 K. Klefisch M
26 S. Klaas M
32 A. Zehnter M
29 I. Ansah F
10 K. Kostons F
7 F. Bilbija F
Bench (9)
24 J. Heuer
11 S. Conteh
39 A. Grimaldi
13 R. Leipertz
36 F. Platte
43 M. Ens
35 A. Schulz
45 M. Pledl
47 T. de Jong

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,83
B ✓
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.