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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Hamburg
S U S T S
5–0
Full-time
Regensburg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
75%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 8. · Regensburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karlsruhe 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Hannover 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Paderborn 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Greuther Furth 4 2 2 0 +6 8
7 FC Koln 5 2 1 2 +5 7
8 Hamburg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Kaiserslautern 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Elversberg 4 1 2 1 +3 5
13 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Regensburg 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Preußen Münster 5 0 2 3 -6 2
16 Darmstadt 5 0 2 3 -8 2
17 Ulm 5 0 1 4 -4 1
18 Braunschweig 5 0 1 4 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Regensburg
1–0 R. Königsdörffer
Fábio Baldé
1′
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer 🟨
3′
9′
ℹ️ Dominik Kother
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 R. Glatzel
Fábio Baldé
14′
30′
🟨 Oscar Schönfelder
Half-time 2–0
Silvan Hefti 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Andreas Geipl
Fabio Balde 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Christian Viet
L. Reis 🔁
↦ M. Richter
61′
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ Fábio Baldé
62′
68′
🟨 Florian Ballas
68′
🔁 N. Ganaus
↦ C. Kühlwetter
68′
🔁 N. Ochojski
↦ D. Kother
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
75′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
75′
3–0 J. Dompé
I. Pherai
76′
80′
🔁 J. Bauer
↦ K. Pröger
80′
🔁 M. Meyer
↦ A. Geipl
E. Sahiti 🔁
↦ S. Hefti
81′
Emir Sahiti 🟨
83′
87′
🔁 R. Bulić
↦ C. Viet
89′
🟨 Nico Ochojski
4–0 D. Selke
J. Dompé
89′
5–0 J. Dompé
Daniel Elfadli
93′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

3-4-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
30 S. Hefti M
23 J. Meffert M
8 Daniel Elfadli M
45 Fábio Baldé M
20 M. Richter F
9 R. Glatzel F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
Bench (9)
14 L. Reis
7 J. Dompé
10 I. Pherai
27 D. Selke
29 E. Sahiti
33 N. Katterbach
3 M. Heyer
19 M. Raab
6 Ł. Poręba

Coach: S. Baumgart

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
1 F. Gebhardt G
14 R. Ziegele D
4 F. Ballas D
16 L. Breunig D
7 O. Schönfelder D
15 S. Ernst M
8 A. Geipl M
33 K. Pröger M
10 C. Viet M
27 D. Kother M
30 C. Kühlwetter F
Bench (9)
20 N. Ganaus
11 N. Ochojski
25 J. Bauer
31 M. Meyer
5 R. Bulić
23 J. Pollersbeck
3 B. Hein
9 E. Hottmann
37 L. Wurm

Coach: J. Enochs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,47
B
8,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.