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Championship

Referee: L Doughty

Portsmouth

U T U U T

0–3

Full-time

West Brom

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portsmouth West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 2,27

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 19

0 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 6

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portsmouth 22. · West Brom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sunderland	5	4	0	1	+8	+4.2	12
2	Blackburn	5	3	2	0	+6	-0.6	11
3	Sheffield United	5	3	2	0	+5	+2.3	11
4	Burnley	5	3	1	1	+8	-0.4	10
5	Watford	5	3	1	1	+4	-1.0	10
6	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.3	10
7	Oxford	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.3	9
8	Derby	5	3	0	2	+2	-0.2	9
9	Leeds	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.8	8
10	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	+2	+6.2	8
11	Swansea	5	2	1	2	+2	-2.4	7
12	QPR	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6
13	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.9	6
14	Coventry	5	1	2	2	-1	+2.9	5
15	Norwich	5	1	2	2	-2	+1.0	5
16	Plymouth	5	1	2	2	-4	-7.3	5
17	Bristol City	5	1	2	2	-5	-0.7	5
18	Millwall	5	1	1	3	+0	+3.3	4
19	Luton	5	1	1	3	-4	+1.5	4
20	Sheffield Weds	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.8	4
21	Preston	5	1	1	3	-6	-5.4	4
22	Portsmouth	4	0	3	1	-2	-5.9	3
23	Hull	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.0	3
24	Cardiff	5	0	1	4	-10	-3.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Blackburn	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.1	9
2	Oxford	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.6	9
3	Derby	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.2	9
4	Watford	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
5	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.0	7
6	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.9	6
7	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	+5.4	5
8	Burnley	2	1	1	0	+5	+0.7	4
9	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.2	4
10	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+1	+4.0	4
11	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
12	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.5	4
13	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
14	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
15	Millwall	3	1	0	2	+1	+3.9	3
16	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
17	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
18	Preston	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.8	3
19	Norwich	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.3	2
20	Hull	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.9	2
21	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.4	1
22	Portsmouth	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
23	Luton	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.5	0
24	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sheffield United	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.2	7
2	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.3	6
3	Burnley	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.1	6
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.4	6
5	QPR	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
6	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
7	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
8	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
9	Watford	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.3	3
10	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
11	Stoke	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.3	3
12	Portsmouth	2	0	2	0	+0	-4.3	2
13	Blackburn	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
14	Coventry	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.3	2
15	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
16	Hull	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
17	Plymouth	2	0	1	1	-4	-6.5	1
18	Preston	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.6	1
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.0	1
20	Bristol City	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.3	1
21	Oxford	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.9	0
22	Swansea	2	0	0	2	-2	-4.3	0
23	Derby	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
24	Sheffield Weds	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.