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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Piast Gliwice
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Puszcza
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,16
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 4. · Puszcza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 +13 +4.2 19
2 Cracovia 8 5 1 2 +4 -1.0 16
3 Legia 7 4 2 1 +8 +4.5 14
4 Piast Gliwice 7 4 2 1 +3 +0.6 14
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 1 3 +4 +2.6 13
6 Widzew Lodz 8 3 3 2 +1 -3.2 12
7 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 -3 -1.5 12
8 Rakow 7 3 2 2 +2 +3.7 11
9 GKS Katowice 8 2 3 3 +0 -1.7 9
10 Motor Lublin 7 2 3 2 -2 -2.0 9
11 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -2 -0.6 8
12 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 2 4 -3 -0.6 8
13 Lechia Gdansk 8 2 2 4 -6 -3.5 8
14 Puszcza 7 1 4 2 +0 +1.2 7
15 Radomiak Radom 7 2 0 5 -5 -0.3 6
16 Korona Kielce 7 1 3 3 -5 -4.7 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 6 0 4 2 -4 +2.0 4
18 Stal Mielec 7 1 1 5 -5 +0.1 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Puszcza
2′
🟨 Jin-hyun Lee
10′
🟨 Piotr Mroziński
37′
ℹ️ Mateusz Radecki
VAR: Goal cancelled
41′
🔁 M. Stępień
↦ M. Radecki
Half-time 0–0
Damian Kądzior 🟨
50′
66′
P. Mroziński 0–1
M. Kosidis
Igor Drapinski ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
1–1 M. Chrapek
71′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ M. Rosołek
77′
T. Kostadinov 🔁
↦ Jorge Félix
77′
M. Szczepański 🔁
↦ M. Chrapek
77′
81′
🔁 M. Cholewiak
↦ Lee Jin-Hyun
81′
🔁 W. Hajda
↦ M. Sipľak
S. Mucha 🔁
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
86′
T. Mokwa 🔁
↦ I. Drapiński
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
77 A. Pyrka D
5 T. Huk D
4 J. Czerwiński D
29 I. Drapiński D
10 P. Dziczek M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
92 D. Kądzior M
6 M. Chrapek M
7 Jorge Félix M
39 M. Rosołek F
Bench (9)
9 F. Piasecki
96 T. Kostadinov
30 M. Szczepański
23 S. Mucha
22 T. Mokwa
33 K. Szymański
17 F. Karbowy
36 J. Lewicki
3 Miguel Muñoz

Coach: A. Vuković

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
8 P. Mroziński D
22 A. Crăciun D
3 R. Yakuba D
18 M. Sipľak D
14 J. Serafin M
5 K. Stępień M
17 M. Radecki M
6 Lee Jin-Hyun M
33 D. Abramowicz M
35 M. Kosidis F
Bench (9)
12 M. Stępień
11 M. Cholewiak
70 W. Hajda
31 M. Perchel
27 Ł. Sołowiej
29 K. Okoniewski
10 H. Tomalski
67 I. Revenco
16 M. Walski

Coach: T. Tułacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.