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Serie B
Referee: V Crezzini
Reggiana
T U S S T
1–3
Full-time
Sudtirol
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 6. · Sudtirol 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 5 3 0 2 +3 9
2 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
3 Pisa 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Reggiana 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Cremonese 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Cesena 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Palermo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Salernitana 4 2 0 2 +0 6
12 Catanzaro 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Sudtirol 4 2 0 2 -1 6
14 Cosenza 4 1 2 1 +0 5
15 Modena 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Sassuolo 4 1 2 1 -2 5
18 Carrarese 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3
20 Sampdoria 4 0 2 2 -2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Sudtirol
7′
S. Molina 0–1
F. Tait
21′
🔁 M. Rover
↦ S. Davì
1–1 M. Portanova
L. Štulac
31′
40′
T. Arrigoni 1–2
S. Molina
Half-time 1–2
R. Fiamozzi 🔁
↦ M. Sampirisi
46′
48′
🟨 Andrea Giorgini
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ L. Vido
56′
66′
🔁 J. Martini
↦ F. Tait
66′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ R. Odogwu
66′
🔁 M. Praszelik
↦ D. Casiraghi
L. Cigarini 🔁
↦ L. Štulac
69′
M. Maggio 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
69′
78′
M. Praszelik 1–3
S. Merkaj
G. Cavallini 🔁
↦ A. Fontanarosa
79′
83′
🔁 N. Pietrangeli
↦ R. Kofler
88′
🟨 Jacopo Martini
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
24 A. Fontanarosa D
5 A. Sersanti M
6 L. Štulac M
90 M. Portanova M
10 L. Vido M
30 A. Vergara M
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
15 R. Fiamozzi
18 O. Okwonkwo
8 L. Cigarini
27 M. Maggio
39 G. Cavallini
80 N. Girma
17 L. Libutti
87 Y. Nahounou
16 T. Reinhart
25 L. Ignacchiti
29 O. Urso
99 A. Sposito

Coach: W. Viali

Sudtirol

3-4-2-1
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
30 A. Giorgini D
79 S. Molina M
4 T. Arrigoni M
27 J. Kurtić M
24 S. Davì M
21 F. Tait F
17 D. Casiraghi F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
7 M. Rover
6 J. Martini
33 S. Merkaj
99 M. Praszelik
19 N. Pietrangeli
22 J. Tschöll
2 H. El Kaouakibi
11 K. Zedadka
9 V. Crespi
12 G. Drago
68 A. Vimercati
14 F. Davi

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
2,91
B ✓
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,59
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.