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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
Aarhus
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 71%
71%
71%
Points per game
2,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
4,0
3,4
Scored
3,0
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 2. · Silkeborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 8 6 2 0 +9 +6.7 20
2 Aarhus 7 5 1 1 +14 +1.6 16
3 Silkeborg 7 5 0 2 +6 +0.6 15
4 FC Copenhagen 8 4 2 2 +5 +4.3 14
5 Brondby 7 3 2 2 +4 +5.4 11
6 Randers FC 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.2 11
7 Nordsjaelland 7 3 2 2 +0 +3.6 11
8 Aalborg 8 3 0 5 -11 -5.1 9
9 Viborg 7 1 3 3 -3 -1.1 6
10 Lyngby 8 1 2 5 -6 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 7 1 2 4 -7 -9.6 5
12 Vejle 7 0 0 7 -12 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Silkeborg
22′
T. Adamsen 0–1
P. Mattsson
1–1 N. Poulsen
M. Madsen
28′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🔁 J. Nielsen
↦ R. Orazov
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
63′
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ F. Brandhof
67′
Mads Emil Madsen 🟨
72′
Kristian Arnstad 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Jeppe Andersen
77′
🔁 F. Carlsen
↦ J. Andersen
77′
🔁 R. Østrøm
↦ A. Poulsen
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ J. Jensen-Abbew
80′
87′
🔁 O. Boesen
↦ M. Freundlich
87′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ P. Mattsson
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ T. Bech
90′
M. Power 🔁
↦ M. Madsen
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-1-4-2
1 J. Hansen G
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
40 J. Jensen-Abbew D
6 N. Poulsen M
2 F. Beijmo M
29 F. Brandhof M
7 M. Madsen M
8 M. Anderson M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
10 K. Arnstad
26 J. Andersen
15 Y. Badji
16 M. Power
22 L. Wahlstedt
33 L. Callø
20 M. Duelund
18 R. Gyamfi
4 T. Anker

Coach: U. Rösler

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
15 R. Thelander D
4 Pedro Ganchas D
2 A. Poulsen D
20 M. Larsen M
6 P. Mattsson M
33 M. Freundlich M
8 J. Andersen M
7 R. Orazov M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (7)
36 J. Nielsen
11 F. Carlsen
3 R. Østrøm
41 O. Boesen
9 A. Simmelhack
30 A. Andrésen
19 J. Gammelby

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.