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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Ath Madrid

S U S U S

3–0

Full-time

Valencia

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,24 xG 0,15

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Valencia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.9	15
2	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+7	+6.7	11
3	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+3	+1.5	11
4	Celta	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.8	9
5	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.2	8
6	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
7	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.4	7
8	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
9	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.6	7
10	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-2	-2.3	7
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
12	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
13	Sevilla	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.1	5
14	Leganes	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.6	5
15	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
16	Sociedad	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.0	4
17	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-11	-5.5	4
18	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.9	3
19	Las Palmas	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.7	2
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.0	9
2	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
5	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
7	Betis	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
10	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
12	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
13	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
14	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
15	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
16	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.7	2
17	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.8	2
18	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
20	Sociedad	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.7	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
3	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.1	5
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
5	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
7	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.6	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
9	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
10	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
11	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
12	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
13	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
15	Betis	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0
20	Valladolid	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.