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Süper Lig

Referee: M Metoğlu

Samsunspor

T T T T S

3–0

Full-time

Eyüpspor

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Eyüpspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

41%

56%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,42 xG 1,21

36% Possession 64%

18 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Eyüpspor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	26	5	1	+51	+36.1	83
2	Fenerbahce	31	23	6	2	+49	+40.6	75
3	Samsunspor	32	16	6	10	+9	+6.4	54
4	Besiktas	31	14	10	7	+16	+19.6	52
5	Buyuksehyr	32	15	6	11	+9	+4.7	51
6	Eyüpspor	32	14	8	10	+11	+0.3	50
7	Trabzonspor	31	12	9	10	+13	+0.2	45
8	Goztep	31	11	10	10	+12	+19.4	43
9	Konyaspor	33	12	7	14	-4	-1.7	43
10	Antalyaspor	32	12	7	13	-20	-15.6	43
11	Kasimpasa	31	10	12	9	-2	+0.8	42
12	Gaziantep	32	12	6	14	-4	-12.8	42
13	Kayserispor	32	10	11	11	-10	-2.1	41
14	Rizespor	32	12	4	16	-12	+5.9	40
15	Alanyaspor	32	9	8	15	-11	-2.8	35
16	Sivasspor	33	9	7	17	-13	-19.4	34
17	Bodrumspor	32	9	7	16	-13	-6.3	34
18	Hatayspor	32	4	7	21	-31	-31.9	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	31	2	4	25	-50	-41.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	3	0	+26	+25.9	42
2	Fenerbahce	15	12	2	1	+23	+20.6	38
3	Goztep	16	10	5	1	+22	+20.6	35
4	Trabzonspor	16	10	4	2	+20	+6.6	34
5	Gaziantep	16	10	3	3	+11	+0.8	33
6	Antalyaspor	16	10	3	3	+3	-2.1	33
7	Besiktas	16	10	2	4	+10	+13.9	32
8	Buyuksehyr	16	9	4	3	+15	+8.0	31
9	Eyüpspor	16	9	3	4	+12	+4.1	30
10	Konyaspor	16	8	5	3	+7	+5.8	29
11	Sivasspor	17	7	5	5	+7	-4.0	26
12	Samsunspor	15	8	2	5	+6	+10.3	26
13	Alanyaspor	16	7	4	5	+3	+6.0	25
14	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	+2	+13.3	25
15	Kayserispor	16	7	4	5	+0	+3.6	25
16	Kasimpasa	15	5	6	4	+0	+4.3	21
17	Bodrumspor	16	5	4	7	+0	-0.1	19
18	Hatayspor	17	3	5	9	-9	-11.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-13.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	2	1	+25	+10.2	41
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	4	1	+26	+20.0	37
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Kasimpasa	16	5	6	5	-2	-3.6	21
5	Besiktas	15	4	8	3	+6	+5.8	20
6	Eyüpspor	16	5	5	6	-1	-3.7	20
7	Buyuksehyr	16	6	2	8	-6	-3.3	20
8	Kayserispor	16	3	7	6	-10	-5.7	16
9	Bodrumspor	16	4	3	9	-13	-6.2	15
10	Rizespor	16	5	0	11	-14	-7.4	15
11	Konyaspor	17	4	2	11	-11	-7.5	14
12	Trabzonspor	15	2	5	8	-7	-6.4	11
13	Alanyaspor	16	2	4	10	-14	-8.7	10
14	Antalyaspor	16	2	4	10	-23	-13.5	10
15	Gaziantep	16	2	3	11	-15	-13.6	9
16	Goztep	15	1	5	9	-10	-1.3	8
17	Sivasspor	16	2	2	12	-20	-15.4	8
18	Hatayspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-20.3	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	1	2	13	-28	-27.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.