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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Cartagena
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Santander
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 31%
11%
51%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
54%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
49%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
5 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Santander 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 38 20 11 7 +22 71
2 Levante 38 18 13 7 +22 67
3 Santander 37 19 9 9 +16 66
4 Mirandes 38 19 8 11 +15 65
5 Oviedo 38 18 11 9 +11 65
6 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
7 Almeria 37 16 11 10 +9 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 38 14 12 12 +1 54
10 Albacete 37 13 12 12 +2 51
11 Burgos 38 14 9 15 -6 51
12 La Coruna 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Cadiz 38 12 13 13 -1 49
14 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
15 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
16 Sp Gijon 37 11 14 12 +1 47
17 Castellon 37 12 10 15 +0 46
18 Zaragoza 38 11 12 15 -5 45
19 Eldense 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 -16 35
21 Ferrol 38 5 11 22 -39 26
22 Cartagena 37 4 5 28 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Santander
Jorge Moreno 🟨
21′
Nacho Martínez 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Mario Garcia
1–0 D. Luna
Nacho Martínez
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Juan Carlos Arana
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
46′
🔁 Víctor Meseguer
↦ M. Gueye
S. El Jebari 🔁
↦ R. Núñez
60′
Óscar Clemente 🔁
↦ Álex Millán
68′
Dani Escriche 🔁
↦ José Machín
68′
68′
🔁 Saúl García
↦ Mario García
69′
🟨 Andrés Martín
76′
🔁 J. Arévalo
↦ Unai Vencedor
Andy Rodríguez 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
83′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ D. Luna
83′
87′
🔁 Róber
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Pablo Cuñat G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
2 Jorge Moreno D
20 Nacho Martínez D
5 A. Ndiaye M
6 Sergio Guerrero M
32 D. Luna M
16 José Machín M
38 R. Núñez M
14 Álex Millán F
Bench (12)
33 S. El Jebari
11 Óscar Clemente
10 Dani Escriche
17 Andy Rodríguez
9 Alfredo Ortuño
36 Lázaro Rubio
24 N. Šipčić
21 Julián Delmás
28 Jesús Hernández
40 Toni Fuidias
30 J. Dick
12 A. Vukčević

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Javi Castro D
40 Mario García D
12 M. Gueye M
21 Unai Vencedor M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (12)
9 Juan Carlos Arana
23 Víctor Meseguer
3 Saúl García
29 J. Arévalo
16 Róber
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
8 Aritz Aldasoro
1 Miquel Parera
15 Marco Sangalli
7 L. Junior
24 Javi Montero
18 Manu Hernando

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,28
U
4,38
B
1,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.