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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

BW Linz

T T T S U

0–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

61%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

61%

68%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

6 Shots 21

0 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match BW Linz 7. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	28	17	5	6	+26	56
2	Austria Vienna	28	17	5	6	+17	56
3	LASK	29	16	4	9	+16	52
4	Wolfsberger AC	28	14	6	8	+20	48
5	Salzburg	28	13	9	6	+14	48
6	SK Rapid	28	10	8	10	+1	38
7	BW Linz	28	11	4	13	-4	37
8	Hartberg	28	8	10	10	-4	34
9	Tirol	29	6	8	15	-17	26
10	A. Klagenfurt	29	6	8	15	-33	26
11	Altach	28	5	8	15	-15	23
12	Grazer AK	29	4	11	14	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Austria Vienna	14	10	2	2	+13	32
3	SK Rapid	14	9	2	3	+13	29
4	Salzburg	14	8	4	2	+16	28
5	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+11	24
6	BW Linz	14	8	0	6	+5	24
7	LASK	14	7	2	5	+8	23
8	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
9	Tirol	15	3	6	6	-7	15
10	A. Klagenfurt	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Altach	14	2	6	6	-2	12
12	Grazer AK	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	15	9	2	4	+8	29
2	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+9	24
3	Austria Vienna	14	7	3	4	+4	24
4	Sturm Graz	14	7	3	4	+3	24
5	Salzburg	14	5	5	4	-2	20
6	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
7	BW Linz	14	3	4	7	-9	13
8	A. Klagenfurt	15	3	3	9	-27	12
9	Tirol	14	3	2	9	-10	11
10	Grazer AK	14	2	5	7	-12	11
11	Altach	14	3	2	9	-13	11
12	SK Rapid	14	1	6	7	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.