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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
Wisla Plock
U U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
1,9
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,97 xG 2,30
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 2. · Widzew Lodz 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 20 10 6 4 +13 -3.3 36
2 Wisla Plock 20 8 9 3 +9 +2.9 33
3 Gornik Zabrze 20 10 3 7 +5 -2.5 33
4 Zaglebie 21 8 8 5 +6 -0.9 32
5 Cracovia 21 8 8 5 +5 +4.0 32
6 Rakow 21 9 4 8 +2 +5.2 31
7 Korona Kielce 21 8 6 7 +4 -2.6 30
8 Lechia Gdansk 20 8 5 7 +2 -1.6 29
9 Lech Poznan 20 7 8 5 +1 +11.7 29
10 Radomiak Radom 20 7 6 7 +3 +1.5 27
11 GKS Katowice 20 8 3 9 -2 -6.9 27
12 Piast Gliwice 20 7 5 8 +1 -6.8 26
13 Motor Lublin 20 5 9 6 -7 -2.7 24
14 Pogon Szczecin 20 6 4 10 -5 +8.8 22
15 Arka Gdynia 19 6 4 9 -17 -6.4 22
16 Legia 21 4 9 8 -3 +1.5 21
17 Widzew Lodz 20 6 2 12 -5 +2.9 20
18 Nieciecza 20 5 5 10 -12 -4.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Widzew Lodz
Wiktor Nowak 🟨
22′
34′
ℹ️ Sebastian Bergier
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Rafał Leszczyński 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Mariusz Fornalczyk
38′
🟨 Sebastian Bergier
38′
S. Bergier 0–1
Žan Rogelj 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Stelios Andreou
45′
🟨 Marcel Krajewski
Half-time 0–1
D. Kun 🔁
↦ D. Sarapata
46′
G. Niarchos 🔁
↦ D. Juric
65′
K. Custovic 🔁
↦ Z. Rogelj
74′
M. Djalo 🔁
↦ W. Nowak
74′
79′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ S. Bergier
79′
🔁 A. Baena Perez
↦ M. Fornalczyk
F. Hiszpanski 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
86′
89′
E. Kornvig 0–2
A. Zeqiri
90′
🔁 C. Isaac
↦ E. Kornvig
90′
🔁 B. Pawlowski
↦ O. Bukari
Marcus Haglind Sangre 🟨
94′
95′
🔁 M. Zyro
↦ M. Krajewski
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-5-2
12 R. Leszczynski G
4 M. Haglind-Sangre D
35 M. Kaminski D
25 N. Mijuskovic D
21 Z. Rogelj M
18 D. Sarapata M
8 D. Pacheco M
30 W. Nowak M
13 Q. Lecoeuche M
99 D. Juric F
20 L. Sekulski F
Bench (11)
26 J. Burek
2 K. Custovic
3 A. Kalandadze
5 M. Karamarko
6 K. Pomorski
9 G. Niarchos
14 D. Kun
16 F. Hiszpanski
17 M. Djalo
27 B. Borowski
37 M. Bokhno

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Widzew Lodz

4-4-2
1 B. Dragowski G
91 M. Krajewski D
5 S. Andreou D
25 P. Wisniewski D
17 C. Cheng D
22 O. Bukari M
21 L. Lerager M
6 J. Shehu M
7 M. Fornalczyk M
8 E. Kornvig F
99 S. Bergier F
Bench (10)
98 M. Kikolski
2 C. Isaac
3 S. Kozlovsky
4 M. Zyro
9 A. Zeqiri
10 F. Alvarez
14 R. Visus
18 L. Selahi
19 B. Pawlowski
77 A. Baena Perez

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.