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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Panetolikos

T T T T S

3–1

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 21%

27%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

41%

Both score Ø 34%

32%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,54 xG 1,19

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panetolikos 11. · Asteras Tripolis 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	22	16	4	2	+25	+3.3	52
2	Olympiakos	22	15	5	2	+29	+0.1	50
3	PAOK	21	15	4	2	+30	+0.9	49
4	Levadeiakos	22	11	7	4	+24	+0.5	40
5	Panathinaikos	20	9	6	5	+7	-0.1	33
6	OFI Crete	20	9	0	11	-5	-0.5	27
7	Aris Thessalonikis	20	6	8	6	-3	-0.9	26
8	Aris	20	6	8	6	-3	–	26
9	Volos NFC	21	8	1	12	-12	–	25
10	Larisa	22	5	7	10	-13	+0.8	22
11	Panetolikos	22	6	3	13	-13	-0.8	21
12	Atromitos	21	5	5	11	-6	–	20
13	Kifisia	20	4	7	9	-7	–	19
14	Asteras Tripolis	22	3	8	11	-13	–	17
15	Panserraikos	21	2	3	16	-40	-3.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	11	10	1	0	+21	–	31
2	Olympiakos	11	9	1	1	+18	+0.1	28
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	11	7	2	2	+19	–	23
5	Panathinaikos	9	6	2	1	+10	–	20
6	OFI Crete	11	6	0	5	+8	-0.5	18
7	Aris Thessalonikis	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.9	13
8	Aris	10	2	7	1	+1	–	13
9	Volos NFC	9	4	1	4	-4	–	13
10	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-8	+0.8	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	2	5	4	-1	–	11
12	Kifisia	10	2	3	5	-2	–	9
13	Panserraikos	10	2	1	7	-16	-3.3	7
14	Atromitos	11	1	3	7	-6	–	6
15	Panetolikos	11	2	0	9	-12	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	11	7	3	1	+12	+3.3	24
2	Olympiakos	11	6	4	1	+11	–	22
3	PAOK	10	5	3	2	+9	+0.9	18
4	Levadeiakos	11	4	5	2	+5	+0.5	17
5	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.8	15
6	Atromitos	10	4	2	4	+0	–	14
7	Panathinaikos	11	3	4	4	-3	-0.1	13
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	4	1	5	-4	–	13
9	Aris	10	4	1	5	-4	–	13
10	Volos NFC	12	4	0	8	-8	–	12
11	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-5	–	10
12	Larisa	10	2	3	5	-5	–	9
13	OFI Crete	9	3	0	6	-13	–	9
14	Asteras Tripolis	11	1	3	7	-12	–	6
15	Panserraikos	11	0	2	9	-24	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.