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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Standard
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 48%
29%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 38%
29%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,9
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,38 xG 1,78
33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 15. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 12 1 3 +16 +5.7 37
2 St. Gilloise 15 10 5 0 +22 +17.4 35
3 St Truiden 15 10 2 3 +9 +14.5 32
4 Mechelen 18 8 7 3 +8 -3.7 31
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +8 +5.0 29
6 Antwerp 17 6 4 7 +2 -0.7 22
7 Genk 15 6 4 5 +1 +0.9 22
8 Waregem 18 6 3 9 -4 -6.6 21
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 5 6 7 -4 -2.8 21
10 Cercle Brugge 20 5 6 9 -5 -3.1 21
11 Westerlo 18 5 6 7 -6 +1.1 21
12 Anderlecht 16 5 5 6 -2 +4.3 20
13 Charleroi 17 5 3 9 -4 -2.7 18
14 RAAL La Louviere 19 4 6 9 -7 -8.4 18
15 Standard 17 5 3 9 -14 -10.8 18
16 Dender 20 2 5 13 -20 -10.2 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard St. Gilloise
5′
ℹ️ Anan Khalaili
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 D. Eckert Ayensa
M. Fossey
15′
Josué Homawoo 🟨
38′
D. Dierckx 🔁
↦ J. Homawoo
40′
Half-time 1–0
D. Bates 🔁
46′
46′
🔁 Guilherme Smith
↦ L. Patris
Rafiki Saïd 🟨
49′
Henry Lawrence 🟨
52′
62′
🟨 Kamiel Van de Perre
65′
🔁 R. Schoofs
↦ K. Van De Perre
65′
🔁 B. Zeneli
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
65′
🔁 R. Florucz
↦ M. Fuseini
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ M. Fossey
69′
Dennis Eckert Ayensa 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Adem Zorgane
76′
Guilherme Smith 1–1
R. Schoofs
80′
🟨 Christian Burgess
T. Nkada 🔁
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
80′
86′
🔁 M. Biondic
87′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-3
21 L. Pirard G
18 H. Lawrence D
25 I. Hautekiet D
24 J. Homawoo D
13 M. Fossey M
20 I. Karamoko M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
3 G. Mortensen M
7 T. Mohr F
10 D. Eckert Ayensa F
17 R. Said F
Bench (9)
35 B. Dizdarevic
4 D. Bates
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
29 D. Dierckx
33 C. Spoden
11 A. Abid
26 B. Nguene
27 M. El Hankouri
59 T. Nkada

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
1 V. Chambaere G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
26 R. Sykes D
25 A. Khalaili M
8 A. Zorgane M
6 K. Van De Perre M
27 L. Patris M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
7 M. Fuseini F
12 P. David F
Bench (9)
21 J. Teunckens
19 G. Francois
11 Guilherme Smith
14 I. Pavlic
17 R. Schoofs
23 B. Zeneli
9 M. Biondic
20 M. Giger
30 R. Florucz

Coach: David Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,06
U ✓
3,52
B
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.