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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Aberdeen
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
47%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 +75 88
2 Rangers 31 24 4 3 +46 76
3 Hearts 30 13 6 11 +5 45
4 Aberdeen 30 14 2 14 -5 44
5 St Mirren 30 11 8 11 -8 41
6 Hibernian 30 12 4 14 -3 40
7 Livingston 30 11 6 13 -16 39
8 Motherwell 30 9 6 15 -6 33
9 ST Johnstone 31 9 5 17 -18 32
10 Kilmarnock 30 7 7 16 -26 28
11 Ross County 31 7 6 18 -18 27
12 Dundee United 30 5 7 18 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Dec -22 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 1. Oct -22 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 4–1 20. Feb -21 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 20. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 0–2 12. Sep -20 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0

Match report

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
1–0 Duk ⚽
B. Miovski
1′
42′
🟨 David Watson
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Alebiosu
↦ B. Lyons
2–0 Duk ⚽
B. Miovski
59′
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
72′
72′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ Jordan Jones
A. Bavidge 🔁
↦ Duk
77′
Jonny Hayes 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ D. Armstrong
89′
🔁 B. Wales
↦ C. Doidge
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
18 M. Pollock D
27 A. MacDonald D
4 L. Scales D
2 R. McCrorie M
23 R. Duncan M
20 L. Clarkson M
16 Y. Ramadani M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
15 M. Watkins
36 A. Bavidge
25 J. Richardson
33 M. Kennedy
19 J. Gorter
3 J. MacKenzie
10 D. Markanday
14 P. Myslovič
22 H. Coulson

Coach: B. Robson

Kilmarnock

3-5-1-1
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
3 J. Dorsett D
11 D. Armstrong M
34 D. Watson M
17 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
24 L. Chambers M
10 Jordan Jones F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
25 R. Alebiosu
16 S. Robinson
15 F. Murray
29 B. Wales
21 K. McInroy
4 A. Power
5 A. Taylor
8 B. Alston
1 Z. Hemming

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
🔒
U
3,57
🔒
B
4,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.