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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
3–2
Full-time
Cracovia
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
58%
27%
Both score Ø 52%
65%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
6 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Cracovia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 26 19 4 3 +33 61
2 Legia 26 16 7 3 +15 55
3 Lech Poznan 26 12 8 6 +11 44
4 Pogon Szczecin 26 11 8 7 +2 41
5 Warta Poznan 26 10 8 8 +7 38
6 Widzew Lodz 27 10 8 9 +1 38
7 Wisla Plock 27 10 6 11 +2 36
8 Piast Gliwice 27 10 6 11 +2 36
9 Cracovia 26 9 8 9 +4 35
10 Stal Mielec 27 9 7 11 -2 34
11 Radomiak Radom 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Korona Kielce 27 8 7 12 -9 31
13 Slask Wroclaw 27 7 10 10 -10 31
14 Zaglebie 27 8 7 12 -14 31
15 Jagiellonia 26 6 12 8 +1 30
16 Gornik Zabrze 27 7 8 12 -7 29
17 Lechia Gdansk 26 7 5 14 -17 26
18 Legnica 26 4 7 15 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Cracovia
3′
M. Bochnak 0–1
T. Oshima
1–1 L. Koútris
15′
2–1 V. Bichakhchyan
17′
Half-time 2–2
54′
J. Atanasov 2–2
67′
🔁 C. Râpă
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
M. Wędrychowski 🔁
↦ M. Łęgowski
78′
Léo Borges 🔁
↦ L. Koútris
81′
82′
🔁 M. Sipľak
↦ P. Jaroszyński
3–2 A. Gorgon
K. Grosicki
88′
K. Triantafyllópoulos 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
81 B. Klebaniuk G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
68 D. Lončar D
23 B. Zech D
32 L. Koútris D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
99 M. Łęgowski M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
11 K. Grosicki M
20 A. Gorgon F
Bench (9)
15 M. Wędrychowski
4 Léo Borges
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
73 A. Przyborek
61 K. Smoliński
72 Y. Rostami
33 M. Malec
41 P. Stolarski
76 M. Kowal

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
4 P. Jaroszyński D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 J. Atanasov M
20 K. Knap M
17 M. Bochnak M
18 T. Oshima F
10 Y. Konoplyanka F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (7)
2 C. Râpă
3 M. Sipľak
36 K. Jodłowski
31 L. Hroššo
55 M. Stachera
71 P. Makuch
22 A. Hoskonen

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.