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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Lechia Gdansk

T S T U T

0–1

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 35%

26%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 54%

41%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 17. · Pogon Szczecin 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	27	19	5	3	+33	62
2	Legia	27	16	8	3	+15	56
3	Lech Poznan	27	13	8	6	+13	47
4	Pogon Szczecin	27	12	8	7	+3	44
5	Warta Poznan	28	11	8	9	+7	41
6	Cracovia	28	10	8	10	+6	38
7	Widzew Lodz	27	10	8	9	+1	38
8	Wisla Plock	27	10	6	11	+2	36
9	Piast Gliwice	27	10	6	11	+2	36
10	Stal Mielec	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Radomiak Radom	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Korona Kielce	28	9	7	12	-8	34
13	Jagiellonia	28	7	12	9	+1	33
14	Gornik Zabrze	28	8	8	12	-5	32
15	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Zaglebie	28	8	7	13	-16	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Legnica	27	4	8	15	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Jagiellonia	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
7	Korona Kielce	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
9	Warta Poznan	14	4	6	4	+3	18
10	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
12	Stal Mielec	13	4	5	4	+2	17
13	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Piast Gliwice	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Legnica	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Radomiak Radom	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	7	4	3	+6	25
2	Legia	14	7	4	3	+2	25
3	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
4	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	4	7	-9	13
14	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Jagiellonia	14	0	10	4	-5	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	1	10	-14	10
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.