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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Burgos
T U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 27%
34%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
26%
40%
Both score Ø 39%
31%
46%
Average goals
1,5
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Ponferradina 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 36 18 11 7 +10 65
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 36 16 14 6 +16 62
4 Alaves 35 17 10 8 +14 61
5 Levante 35 15 16 4 +14 61
6 Albacete 36 14 13 9 +4 55
7 Cartagena 35 15 8 12 +5 53
8 Burgos 35 12 13 10 +3 49
9 Zaragoza 36 11 14 11 +1 47
10 Huesca 35 10 16 9 +2 46
11 Villarreal B 35 12 10 13 -3 46
12 Oviedo 36 12 10 14 -4 46
13 Andorra 35 12 9 14 +5 45
14 Sp Gijon 35 10 14 11 -1 44
15 Tenerife 35 10 13 12 -1 43
16 Leganes 35 11 10 14 -6 43
17 Mirandes 35 10 12 13 -4 42
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Ponferradina 35 7 14 14 -14 35
20 Malaga 35 7 12 16 -9 33
21 Ibiza 35 6 11 18 -23 29
22 Lugo 36 5 12 19 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Ponferradina
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
25′
41′
Dani Ojeda 0–1
Hugo Vallejo
Half-time 0–1
Miguel Atienza 🟨
47′
1–1 Curro Sánchez
50′
55′
🟨 Daniel Ojeda
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
66′
2–1 Álex Bermejo
69′
75′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ Dani Ojeda
75′
🔁 Adrián Diéguez
↦ José Amo
76′
🔁 Derik Lacerda
↦ Naim García
Mourad 🔁
↦ Sergio Castel
78′
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
78′
83′
🔁 Yuri
↦ Hugo Vallejo
83′
🔁 Erik Morán
↦ Agus Medina
Borja González 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
87′
Fran García 🔁
↦ José Matos
87′
90′
🟨 Alejandro Díez Salomón
90′
David Goldar 3–1
own goal
96′
ℹ️ Erik Morán
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
23 José Matos D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Pablo Valcarce M
12 Sergio Castel F
Bench (10)
10 Álex Bermejo
9 Mourad
6 Raúl Navarro
2 Borja González
3 Fran García
15 Juan Hernández
7 Juan Artola
26 L. Badiashile
1 Dani Barrio
4 Míchel Zabaco

Coach: Julián Calero

Ponferradina

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
21 Ale Díez D
6 S. Chakla D
4 A. Pașcanu D
15 Adrián Castellano D
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
5 José Amo M
34 Naim García M
30 Hugo Vallejo F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (10)
20 José Naranjo
3 Adrián Diéguez
23 Derik Lacerda
10 Yuri
18 Erik Morán
16 Moi Delgado
13 Miguel San Román
31 N. Fedotov
17 Heriberto Tavares
24 S. Abdulai

Coach: Juanfran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U ✓
2,84
B
3,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,82
U2,5
1,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.