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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno José Costa

Estoril

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Portimonense

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 28%

26%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

33%

37%

Both score Ø 34%

37%

30%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 15. · Portimonense 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	27	23	2	2	+52	71
2	Porto	27	20	4	3	+40	64
3	Sp Braga	27	20	2	5	+36	62
4	Sp Lisbon	27	18	3	6	+30	57
5	Arouca	27	12	8	7	-1	44
6	Guimaraes	28	12	5	11	-6	41
7	Famalicao	28	12	3	13	-5	39
8	Vizela	27	11	5	11	+3	38
9	Casa Pia	27	11	5	11	-5	38
10	Rio Ave	27	9	7	11	-4	34
11	Chaves	27	8	9	10	-6	33
12	Boavista	27	9	6	12	-13	33
13	Gil Vicente	27	8	7	12	-6	31
14	Portimonense	27	8	3	16	-15	27
15	Estoril	27	7	4	16	-20	25
16	Maritimo	27	5	4	18	-29	19
17	Pacos Ferreira	27	4	5	18	-26	17
18	Santa Clara	27	3	6	18	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	12	1	1	+31	37
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	0	2	+28	33
3	Porto	13	11	0	2	+27	33
4	Sp Braga	13	9	2	2	+20	29
5	Guimaraes	14	8	3	3	+4	27
6	Arouca	14	8	2	4	+4	26
7	Famalicao	14	8	1	5	+4	25
8	Boavista	14	6	5	3	+0	23
9	Rio Ave	13	7	1	5	+4	22
10	Casa Pia	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Gil Vicente	14	4	6	4	+0	18
12	Portimonense	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Vizela	13	5	2	6	+1	17
14	Chaves	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Maritimo	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Estoril	13	4	2	7	-10	14
17	Santa Clara	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	2	2	10	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	11	1	1	+21	34
2	Sp Braga	14	11	0	3	+16	33
3	Porto	14	9	4	1	+13	31
4	Sp Lisbon	14	7	3	4	+2	24
5	Vizela	14	6	3	5	+2	21
6	Chaves	14	5	4	5	-4	19
7	Arouca	13	4	6	3	-5	18
8	Casa Pia	13	5	2	6	-7	17
9	Famalicao	14	4	2	8	-9	14
10	Guimaraes	14	4	2	8	-10	14
11	Gil Vicente	13	4	1	8	-6	13
12	Rio Ave	14	2	6	6	-8	12
13	Estoril	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Boavista	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	3	8	-10	9
16	Portimonense	13	3	0	10	-13	9
17	Santa Clara	13	1	2	10	-12	5
18	Maritimo	14	1	2	11	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.