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Premier League

Referee: A Madley

Tottenham

U S U U S

2–3

Full-time

Bournemouth

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

27%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

57%

37%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,23 xG 1,31

57% Possession 43%

24 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Bournemouth 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	30	23	4	3	+43	+10.1	73
2	Man City	29	21	4	4	+48	+17.2	67
3	Newcastle	30	15	11	4	+24	+5.7	56
4	Man United	29	17	5	7	+7	+0.4	56
5	Tottenham	30	16	5	9	+13	+0.5	53
6	Aston Villa	31	15	5	11	+4	-1.2	50
7	Brighton	29	14	7	8	+17	+15.6	49
8	Liverpool	29	12	8	9	+15	+4.3	44
9	Brentford	31	10	13	8	+5	+2.4	43
10	Fulham	30	12	6	12	+1	-5.9	42
11	Chelsea	31	10	9	12	-3	+3.2	39
12	Crystal Palace	31	9	9	13	-9	-3.2	36
13	Wolves	31	9	7	15	-16	-5.4	34
14	West Ham	29	8	6	15	-12	-0.4	30
15	Bournemouth	30	8	6	16	-29	-4.7	30
16	Leeds	30	7	8	15	-15	-6.6	29
17	Everton	31	6	9	16	-22	-8.4	27
18	Nott'm Forest	30	6	9	15	-30	-9.4	27
19	Leicester	30	7	4	19	-12	-5.5	25
20	Southampton	31	6	5	20	-29	-8.6	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	15	12	2	1	+24	+8.4	38
2	Man City	14	12	1	1	+33	+10.2	37
3	Man United	15	11	3	1	+19	+7.6	36
4	Tottenham	15	11	0	4	+14	+1.5	33
5	Liverpool	14	9	4	1	+25	+7.9	31
6	Newcastle	14	8	5	1	+14	+4.1	29
7	Aston Villa	16	9	2	5	+9	+2.2	29
8	Brentford	15	7	6	2	+13	+2.5	27
9	Brighton	14	7	3	4	+11	+8.8	24
10	Chelsea	16	6	5	5	+3	+3.9	23
11	Wolves	16	7	2	7	-4	-0.2	23
12	Fulham	15	6	4	5	+0	-1.3	22
13	Nott'm Forest	15	5	6	4	+1	-4.1	21
14	West Ham	15	6	3	6	+0	+3.6	21
15	Leeds	15	5	5	5	-3	-0.1	20
16	Crystal Palace	15	5	5	5	-5	-3.8	20
17	Bournemouth	15	5	4	6	-4	-1.5	19
18	Everton	16	5	3	8	-6	-0.6	18
19	Leicester	15	3	3	9	-3	-2.5	12
20	Southampton	16	2	4	10	-15	-4.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	15	11	2	2	+19	+1.6	35
2	Man City	15	9	3	3	+15	+7.0	30
3	Newcastle	16	7	6	3	+10	+1.6	27
4	Brighton	15	7	4	4	+6	+6.7	25
5	Aston Villa	15	6	3	6	-5	-3.4	21
6	Fulham	15	6	2	7	+1	-4.6	20
7	Tottenham	15	5	5	5	-1	-1.0	20
8	Man United	14	6	2	6	-12	-7.2	20
9	Crystal Palace	16	4	4	8	-4	+0.6	16
10	Chelsea	15	4	4	7	-6	-0.6	16
11	Brentford	16	3	7	6	-8	-0.2	16
12	Leicester	15	4	1	10	-9	-2.9	13
13	Liverpool	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13
14	Southampton	15	4	1	10	-14	-3.9	13
15	Wolves	15	2	5	8	-12	-5.2	11
16	Bournemouth	15	3	2	10	-25	-3.2	11
17	Leeds	15	2	3	10	-12	-6.5	9
18	West Ham	14	2	3	9	-12	-4.0	9
19	Everton	15	1	6	8	-16	-7.9	9
20	Nott'm Forest	15	1	3	11	-31	-5.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.