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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Valenciennes
U T T U U
2–2
Full-time
Caen
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 18. · Caen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 11 8 1 2 +7 25
2 Angers 11 7 2 2 +9 23
3 Auxerre 11 6 4 1 +13 22
4 Grenoble 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 St Etienne 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Ajaccio 11 4 5 2 +0 17
8 Guingamp 11 4 4 3 +6 16
9 Pau FC 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Amiens 11 4 3 4 -3 15
11 Caen 11 4 2 5 +3 14
12 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Annecy 11 2 6 3 -2 12
14 Bastia 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Concarneau 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Paris FC 11 3 1 7 -4 10
17 Troyes 11 1 6 4 -2 9
18 Valenciennes 11 1 5 5 -8 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 11 1 4 6 -5 7
20 Dunkerque 11 1 3 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Caen
1–0 M. Lilepo
8′
2–0 I. Hamache
Bruno Costa
29′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Zady Sery
↦ G. Kyeremeh
53′
🟨 Quentin Daubin
61′
🟨 Emmanuel Ntim
61′
🔁 M. Hafid
↦ Q. Daubin
A. Jung 🔁
↦ N. Venema
74′
I. Diallo 🔁
↦ I. Hamache
79′
82′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ Y. Court
87′
M. Le Bihan 2–1
A. Coeff
T. Moore 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
90′
91′
A. Abdi 2–2
A. Coeff
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
16 J. Louchet G
24 A. Linguet D
5 J. Poha D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
15 L. Woudenberg D
23 D. Kruse M
8 S. Bansé M
34 M. Lilepo M
28 Bruno Costa M
20 I. Hamache M
10 N. Venema F
Bench (7)
18 A. Jung
31 I. Diallo
4 T. Moore
40 I. de Clemente
11 U. Bonnet
44 J. Sanda
17 A. Boutoutaou

Coach: Jorge Maciel

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
92 A. Coeff D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
61 B. Traoré M
6 Q. Daubin M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
23 M. Autret F
11 M. Le Bihan F
Bench (7)
10 C. Zady Sery
22 M. Hafid
20 N. Lebreton
5 S. Ben Youssef
16 Y. Clémentia
97 D. Debohi
28 D. Diani

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U ✓
3,19
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.