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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Angers
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Concarneau
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 5. · Concarneau 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 8 6 1 1 +6 19
2 Grenoble 8 4 4 0 +5 16
3 Auxerre 8 4 3 1 +9 15
4 Rodez 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Angers 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Amiens 8 4 2 2 +1 14
8 Caen 7 4 0 3 +6 12
9 Guingamp 8 3 2 3 +5 11
10 Pau FC 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Bordeaux 7 3 2 2 -1 11
12 Annecy 8 2 4 2 -1 10
13 Ajaccio 8 2 4 2 -4 10
14 Bastia 8 2 2 4 -5 8
15 Concarneau 8 2 2 4 -5 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 8 2 0 6 -4 6
18 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -4 6
19 Valenciennes 8 1 3 4 -7 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 8 0 2 6 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Concarneau
Ibrahima Niane 🟨
28′
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
39′
42′
🟨 Baptiste Mouazan
Half-time 0–0
69′
🔁 T. Sinquin
↦ M. Etuin
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ I. Niane
73′
Z. Ould Khaled 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
74′
74′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ B. Mouazan
74′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ A. Urie
75′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ A. Wahib
1–0 L. Diony
J. Lefort
77′
84′
🔁 I. Matondo
↦ Y. Merdji
2–0 F. El Melali
L. Diony
96′
98′
🟨 Isaac Matondo
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-4-2
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
20 Z. Ferhat M
8 J. Lopy M
15 P. Capelle M
10 H. Abdelli M
9 L. Diony F
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
28 F. El Melali
24 J. Bahoya
12 Z. Ould Khaled
16 M. Zinga
23 A. Hunou
26 F. Hanin
27 L. Rao-Lisoa

Coach: A. Dujeux

Concarneau

3-4-2-1
30 E. Salles G
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
3 A. Wahib D
2 A. Georgen M
15 G. Barès M
17 M. Etuin M
11 A. Urie M
20 B. Mouazan F
14 P. Bâ F
18 Y. Merdji F
Bench (7)
26 T. Sinquin
9 N. Ndombasi
21 N. Chadli
33 J. Faussurier
7 I. Matondo
1 M. Pattier
28 I. Paro

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,49
B
4,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.