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Ligue 2

Referee: F Benchabane

Bastia

S T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Paris FC

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

31%

54%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 6

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 9. · Paris FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	14	8	3	3	+11	27
2	Le Havre	13	7	5	1	+16	26
3	Sochaux	13	7	3	3	+12	24
4	Amiens	13	7	2	4	+2	23
5	Grenoble	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Valenciennes	13	6	4	3	+2	22
7	Caen	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Bastia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Paris FC	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-4	17
12	Metz	13	4	3	6	-1	15
13	Quevilly Rouen	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Laval	13	4	2	7	-1	14
15	St Etienne	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Dijon	13	3	4	6	-5	13
18	Annecy	13	3	3	7	-3	12
19	Rodez	13	2	6	5	-7	12
20	Niort	13	3	2	8	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Bordeaux	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Amiens	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Grenoble	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Le Havre	7	4	3	0	+8	15
6	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+8	14
7	Valenciennes	6	4	2	0	+4	14
8	Nimes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Metz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Bastia	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Quevilly Rouen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Guingamp	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Pau FC	6	2	3	1	-1	9
14	Dijon	7	2	3	2	-2	9
15	St Etienne	6	2	2	2	-1	8
16	Niort	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Paris FC	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Laval	6	1	1	4	-1	4
19	Annecy	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Rodez	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	3	3	1	+3	12
2	Le Havre	6	3	2	1	+8	11
3	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Sochaux	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Laval	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Annecy	7	2	2	3	+2	8
9	Valenciennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Bastia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Grenoble	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	St Etienne	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Caen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Metz	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-3	4
19	Niort	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Nimes	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.