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Serie B

Referee: A Rapuano

Bari

S S U U S

2–2

Full-time

Spal

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 64%

60%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

80%

67%

Both score Ø 74%

80%

67%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

2,6

1,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 8. · Spal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Genoa	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Cagliari	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Reggina	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Frosinone	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Cosenza	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Bari	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Parma	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Palermo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Spal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Modena	4	1	0	3	+0	3
16	Ternana	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Como	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Perugia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Sudtirol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Modena	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ternana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Como	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bari	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Reggina	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Benevento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sudtirol	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.