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Serie B
Referee: M Gariglio
Cosenza
T S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Bari
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 7. · Bari 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Frosinone 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Brescia 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Ascoli 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Benevento 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Cosenza 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Bari 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Parma 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Spal 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Venezia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Ternana 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
17 Sudtirol 4 1 0 3 -6 3
18 Como 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Pisa 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Perugia 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Bari
4′
ℹ️ Mirco Antenucci
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–1
49′
W. Cheddira 0–1
G. Ricci
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
61′
C. D'Urso 🔁
↦ D. Merola
62′
P. Gozzi 🔁
↦ A. Rispoli
62′
M. Zilli 🔁
↦ J. Larrivey
71′
K. Butić 🔁
↦ M. Brescianini
72′
73′
🟨 Valerio Di Cesare
77′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ R. Botta
G. Calò 🔁
↦ I. Voca
80′
81′
🔁 L. Benedetti
↦ A. Mallamo
81′
🔁 G. Cangiano
↦ M. Antenucci
Massimo Zilli 🟨
85′
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
89′
Aldo Florenzi 🟥
89′
91′
🟨 Gianmarco Cangiano
93′
🔁 F. Vicari
↦ W. Cheddira
Sauli Väisänen 🟨
94′
Enrico Brignola 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
31 K. Matošević G
3 A. Rispoli D
5 M. Rigione D
15 S. Väisänen D
27 P. Martino D
42 I. Voca M
4 M. Brescianini M
11 E. Brignola M
18 D. Merola M
34 A. Florenzi M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
10 C. D'Urso
25 P. Gozzi
40 M. Zilli
32 K. Butić
6 G. Calò
77 L. Marson
19 A. Camigliano
28 A. Sidibe
21 A. Vallocchia
23 M. Venturi
7 E. Kornvig
13 A. Meroni

Coach: D. Dionigi

Bari

4-3-1-2
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
20 E. Terranova D
31 G. Ricci D
99 A. Mallamo M
17 R. Maiello M
90 M. Folorunsho M
10 R. Botta M
7 M. Antenucci F
11 W. Cheddira F
Bench (12)
14 E. Salcedo
80 L. Benedetti
74 G. Cangiano
23 F. Vicari
27 A. Mazzotta
30 D. Ceter
9 A. D'Errico
26 A. Scheidler
63 N. Bellomo
1 P. Frattali
93 M. Dorval
21 Ž. Žužek

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U
3,21
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gariglio · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.