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Serie B
Referee: M Guida
Como
U U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Cittadella
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
39%
28%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 17. · Cittadella 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 18 11 3 4 +14 36
2 Reggina 18 10 3 5 +13 33
3 Bari 18 7 9 2 +12 30
4 Genoa 18 8 6 4 +6 30
5 Pisa 18 6 8 4 +9 26
6 Parma 18 7 5 6 +5 26
7 Sudtirol 18 6 8 4 -1 26
8 Ternana 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Ascoli 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Brescia 19 6 7 6 -6 25
11 Palermo 19 6 6 7 -3 24
12 Benevento 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Modena 18 6 4 8 -2 22
14 Cagliari 18 5 7 6 -2 22
15 Spal 18 4 8 6 -1 20
16 Venezia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
17 Como 18 4 7 7 -7 19
18 Cittadella 18 4 7 7 -9 19
19 Cosenza 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Perugia 18 4 4 10 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Cittadella
1–0 T. Arrigoni
A. Cerri
4′
Half-time 1–0
Simone Ghidotti 🟨
55′
L. Mancuso 🔁
↦ A. Cerri
57′
J. Da Riva 🔁
↦ Álex Blanco
58′
61′
🔁 G. Beretta
↦ Carlos Embaló
61′
🔁 D. Mazzocco
↦ G. Carriero
2–0 L. Mancuso
L. Vignali
72′
78′
🔁 I. Lores
↦ N. Pavan
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
82′
Cesc Fàbregas 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
86′
P. Faragò 🔁
↦ T. Arrigoni
86′
86′
🔁 A. Mattioli
↦ T. Cassandro
86′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ S. Branca
87′
🟨 Santiago Visentin
95′
🟨 Alessandro Mattioli
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Como

3-4-1-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
28 L. Vignali M
21 T. Arrigoni M
14 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
19 Álex Blanco F
27 A. Cerri F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
77 L. Mancuso
5 J. Da Riva
9 A. Gabrielloni
4 Cesc Fàbregas
8 P. Faragò
25 R. Ba
3 A. Cagnano
70 G. Ambrosino
99 M. Vigorito
11 V. Parigini
33 F. Delli Carri
24 E. Celeghin

Coach: M. Longo

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
84 T. Cassandro D
15 D. Frare D
6 S. Visentin D
17 D. Donnarumma D
20 G. Carriero M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
7 Carlos Embaló F
90 Raúl Asencio F
Bench (11)
11 G. Beretta
8 D. Mazzocco
30 I. Lores
18 A. Mattioli
29 V. Mastrantonio
3 G. Felicioli
77 L. Maniero
19 V. Ciriello
16 A. Vita
1 F. Manfrin
5 D. Del Fabro

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,04
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.