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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Nimes
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Guingamp
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 16. · Guingamp 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 16 10 5 1 +19 35
2 Bordeaux 16 8 4 4 +10 28
3 Sochaux 15 8 3 4 +12 27
4 Grenoble 15 7 5 3 +4 26
5 Caen 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Valenciennes 15 6 5 4 +1 23
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 -1 23
8 Metz 15 6 3 6 +3 21
9 Pau FC 15 5 6 4 -3 21
10 Laval 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Guingamp 15 5 5 5 +0 20
12 Paris FC 15 5 5 5 -2 20
13 Annecy 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Quevilly Rouen 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Bastia 15 5 3 7 -6 18
16 Nimes 15 4 3 8 -5 15
17 Dijon 15 3 6 6 -5 15
18 Rodez 15 3 6 6 -6 15
19 St Etienne 16 3 5 8 -7 14
20 Niort 15 3 3 9 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Guingamp
22′
J. Livolant 0–1
30′
🟨 Jérémy Livolant
1–1 M. Tchokounté
30′
Half-time 1–1
N. Benezet 🔁
↦ J. Thomasen
61′
67′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ W. Tchimbembé
Jean N'Guessan 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ B. Guillaume
T. Vargas 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
76′
80′
🔁 S. Diarra
↦ M. Barthelmé
80′
🔁 A. El Ouazzani
↦ J. Livolant
Nicolas Benezet 🟨
90′
92′
G. Courtet 1–2
M. Koné 🔁
↦ R. Labonne
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nimes

4-1-4-1
1 A. Maraval G
17 R. Labonne D
4 M. de Gevigney D
19 N. Djiga D
97 P. Burner D
12 L. Fomba M
11 P. Pagis M
21 J. N'Guessan M
14 J. Thomasen M
15 R. Saïd M
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
8 T. Vargas
65 M. Koné
20 L. Delpech
16 L. Dias
6 B. Poulain
2 K. Guessoum

Coach: F. Bompard

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
15 V. Manceau D
7 D. Gomis D
2 B. Roux D
11 S. Quemper D
12 W. Tchimbembé M
28 M. Barthelmé M
4 D. Louiserre M
6 T. Muyumba M
21 B. Guillaume F
29 J. Livolant F
Bench (7)
37 H. Picard
18 G. Courtet
8 S. Diarra
9 A. El Ouazzani
10 M. Merghem
26 M. Riou
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U
3,23
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.