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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Sunderland
T S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Blackburn
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Championship · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
55%
48%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
26%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 12. · Blackburn 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 +22 47
2 Sheffield United 23 13 5 5 +18 44
3 Blackburn 23 13 0 10 +1 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 +6 37
5 Norwich 23 10 5 8 +5 35
6 Millwall 23 10 5 8 +3 35
7 QPR 23 10 4 9 +0 34
8 Preston 23 9 7 7 +0 34
9 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Swansea 23 8 8 7 -2 32
11 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
12 Sunderland 22 8 6 8 +5 30
13 Middlesbrough 22 8 6 8 +3 30
14 Coventry 21 8 6 7 +2 30
15 West Brom 23 7 8 8 +3 29
16 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
17 Stoke 23 8 5 10 -4 29
18 Bristol City 23 7 6 10 -1 27
19 Rotherham 23 6 8 9 -6 26
20 Cardiff 23 7 5 11 -8 26
21 Hull 23 7 5 11 -14 26
22 Blackpool 23 6 6 11 -9 24
23 Wigan 23 6 6 11 -11 24
24 Huddersfield 22 5 4 13 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Blackburn
18′
R. Stewart 1–0
own goal
2–0 R. Stewart
22′
25′
🟨 Tyler Morton
Dennis Cirkin 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
T. Hume 🔁
↦ D. Cirkin
51′
52′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
Trai Hume 🟨
60′
77′
🔁 L. Travis
↦ B. Dack
77′
🔁 G. Hirst
↦ S. Gallagher
B. Wright 🔁
↦ L. Gooch
79′
E. Simms 🔁
↦ P. Roberts
80′
87′
🟨 John Buckley
90′
🟨 George Hirst
3–0 E. Simms
D. Ballard
91′
Amad Diallo 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Joe Rankin-Costello
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
11 L. Gooch D
5 D. Ballard D
13 L. O'Nien D
3 D. Cirkin D
4 C. Evans M
24 D. Neil M
10 P. Roberts M
16 A. Diallo M
20 J. Clarke M
14 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
32 T. Hume
26 B. Wright
9 E. Simms
25 É. Michut
27 J. Matete
12 A. Bass
17 A. Ba

Coach: T. Mowbray

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
11 J. Rankin-Costello D
4 Daniel Ayala D
5 D. Hyam D
3 H. Pickering D
6 T. Morton M
21 J. Buckley M
19 R. Hedges M
23 B. Dack M
22 B. Brereton M
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
27 L. Travis
14 G. Hirst
16 S. Wharton
33 A. Phillips
18 D. Markanday
30 J. Garrett
13 A. Pears

Coach: J. Tomasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,25
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.