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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Middlesbrough
U S S S T
4–1
Full-time
Wigan
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Championship · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
64%
48%
Both score Ø 67%
68%
65%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 13. · Wigan 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 +22 47
2 Sheffield United 23 13 5 5 +18 44
3 Blackburn 24 13 0 11 +0 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 +6 37
5 Norwich 23 10 5 8 +5 35
6 Millwall 23 10 5 8 +3 35
7 QPR 23 10 4 9 +0 34
8 Preston 23 9 7 7 +0 34
9 Sunderland 23 9 6 8 +6 33
10 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
11 Swansea 23 8 8 7 -2 32
12 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
13 Middlesbrough 22 8 6 8 +3 30
14 Coventry 21 8 6 7 +2 30
15 West Brom 23 7 8 8 +3 29
16 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
17 Stoke 23 8 5 10 -4 29
18 Bristol City 23 7 6 10 -1 27
19 Rotherham 23 6 8 9 -6 26
20 Cardiff 23 7 5 11 -8 26
21 Hull 23 7 5 11 -14 26
22 Blackpool 23 6 6 11 -9 24
23 Wigan 23 6 6 11 -11 24
24 Huddersfield 22 5 4 13 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Wigan
1–0 M. Forss
D. Watmore
26′
Half-time 1–0
A. Mowatt 🔁
↦ J. Howson
46′
2–0 C. Akpom
R. Giles
49′
3–0 C. Akpom
59′
61′
T. Aasgaard 3–1
M. Power
R. McGree 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
62′
66′
🟨 Charlie Hughes
69′
🔁 G. Shinnie
↦ N. Broadhead
75′
🔁 A. Scully
↦ T. Aasgaard
75′
🔁 T. Darikwa
↦ R. Nyambe
M. Crooks 🔁
↦ M. Forss
76′
Hayden Hackney 🟨
79′
Tommy Smith 🟨
80′
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ I. Jones
85′
86′
🔁 T. Naylor
↦ J. Cousins
86′
🔁 A. Fletcher
↦ C. Lang
4–1 C. Akpom
R. Giles
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Steffen G
14 T. Smith D
6 D. Fry D
26 D. Lenihan D
3 R. Giles D
16 J. Howson M
30 H. Hackney M
2 I. Jones M
29 C. Akpom M
18 D. Watmore M
21 M. Forss F
Bench (7)
4 A. Mowatt
8 R. McGree
25 M. Crooks
13 M. Hoppe
27 M. Bola
17 P. McNair
23 L. Roberts

Coach: M. Carrick

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 James Jones G
2 R. Nyambe D
32 C. Hughes D
16 C. Tilt D
11 J. McClean D
8 M. Power M
6 J. Cousins M
19 C. Lang M
10 W. Keane M
30 T. Aasgaard M
20 N. Broadhead F
Bench (7)
18 G. Shinnie
14 A. Scully
27 T. Darikwa
4 T. Naylor
23 A. Fletcher
12 B. Amos
21 J. Bennett

Coach: K. Touré

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,77
B
5,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.