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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Sudtirol
U U T U S
0–2
Full-time
Modena
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
39%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 7. · Modena 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 18 11 3 4 +14 36
2 Reggina 18 10 3 5 +13 33
3 Bari 18 7 9 2 +12 30
4 Genoa 18 8 6 4 +6 30
5 Pisa 18 6 8 4 +9 26
6 Parma 18 7 5 6 +5 26
7 Sudtirol 18 6 8 4 -1 26
8 Ternana 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Ascoli 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Brescia 19 6 7 6 -6 25
11 Palermo 19 6 6 7 -3 24
12 Benevento 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Modena 18 6 4 8 -2 22
14 Cagliari 18 5 7 6 -2 22
15 Spal 18 4 8 6 -1 20
16 Venezia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
17 Como 18 4 7 7 -7 19
18 Cittadella 18 4 7 7 -9 19
19 Cosenza 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Perugia 18 4 4 10 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Modena
22′
L. Magnino 0–1
R. Giovannini
Andrea Masiello 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
R. Odogwu 🔁
↦ M. Marconi
46′
C. Capone 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
46′
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ L. Belardinelli
46′
64′
🔁 M. Armellino
↦ M. Gargiulo
75′
🔁 N. Bonfanti
↦ D. Diaw
M. Pompetti 🔁
↦ F. De Col
77′
81′
M. Armellino 0–2
D. Falcinelli
M. Carretta 🔁
↦ M. Rover
83′
85′
🔁 E. Duca
↦ R. Giovannini
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
26 F. De Col D
4 M. Curto D
55 A. Masiello D
11 T. D'Orazio D
16 L. Belardinelli M
21 F. Tait M
14 H. Nicolussi M
18 M. Rover M
9 S. Mazzocchi F
31 M. Marconi F
Bench (12)
90 R. Odogwu
37 C. Capone
17 D. Casiraghi
23 M. Pompetti
10 M. Carretta
30 G. Crociata
7 N. Siega
2 F. Berra
22 A. Iacobucci
88 A. Schiavone
20 S. Mawuli
5 K. Vinetot

Coach: P. Bisoli

Modena

4-3-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
57 M. Coppolaro D
15 T. Silvestri D
4 A. Pergreffi D
3 F. Ponsi D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
20 M. Gargiulo M
11 D. Falcinelli M
19 R. Giovannini M
99 D. Diaw F
Bench (12)
21 M. Armellino
9 N. Bonfanti
7 E. Duca
5 G. Cittadini
28 S. De Maio
43 S. Panada
96 S. Oukhadda
12 A. Seculin
17 D. Marsura
33 F. Renzetti
8 N. Mosti
27 Paulo Azzi

Coach: A. Tesser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,10
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.