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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Ternana
T T U U S
2–1
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 10%
13%
7%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 18. · FeralpiSalo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Como 15 8 4 3 +4 28
4 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
5 Cremonese 15 7 5 3 +9 26
6 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
7 Cittadella 15 7 4 4 +0 25
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Cosenza 15 5 4 6 +1 19
10 Brescia 15 4 6 5 -1 18
11 Pisa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
12 Bari 15 3 9 3 -2 18
13 Sampdoria 15 5 3 7 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 15 4 5 6 +0 17
15 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
16 Lecco 15 4 4 7 -7 16
17 Ascoli 15 3 4 8 -6 13
18 Ternana 15 2 5 8 -4 11
19 Spezia 15 1 7 7 -10 10
20 FeralpiSalo 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana FeralpiSalo
1–0 F. Distefano
T. Casasola
42′
F. Sørensen 🔁
↦ M. Capuano
44′
Half-time 1–1
52′
M. Tonetto 1–1
L. Ceppitelli
C. Favasuli 🔁
↦ K. de Boer
60′
N. Pyyhtiä 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
60′
65′
🔁 M. Felici
↦ V. Parigini
66′
🟨 Denis Hergheligiu
66′
🔁 M. Zennaro
↦ D. Di Molfetta
2–1 L. Lucchesi
C. Falletti
68′
Salim Diakite 🟨
70′
Antony Iannarilli 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 Alessio Da Cruz
↦ M. Compagnon
77′
🔁 M. Sau
↦ D. Hergheligiu
G. Luperini 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
80′
A. Celli 🔁
↦ T. Casasola
80′
81′
🟨 Karlo Butić
84′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ K. Butić
88′
🟨 Mattia Zennaro
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ternana

3-4-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 T. Casasola M
8 K. de Boer M
25 J. Łabojko M
91 N. Corrado M
10 C. Falletti F
9 A. Raimondo F
28 F. Distefano F
Bench (11)
4 F. Sørensen
27 C. Favasuli
66 N. Pyyhtiä
71 G. Luperini
3 A. Celli
13 V. Mantovani
77 Gabriel Brazão
18 T. Vitali
30 O. Garau
65 F. Dionisi
73 A. Mărginean

Coach: R. Breda

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
66 F. Bergonzi D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
87 B. Martella D
70 V. Parigini M
8 D. Balestrero M
27 D. Hergheligiu M
10 D. Di Molfetta M
3 M. Tonetto M
14 M. Compagnon F
9 K. Butić F
Bench (10)
97 M. Felici
20 M. Zennaro
11 Alessio Da Cruz
25 M. Sau
91 A. La Mantia
34 S. Minelli
29 M. Verzelletti
61 G. Volpe
39 C. Kourfalidis
99 A. Pietrelli

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,42
B
4,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.