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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Salernitana
T U T U U
2–1
Full-time
Cittadella
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
15 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 6
23 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -21 Cittadella – Salernitana 0–0 5. Dec -20 Salernitana – Cittadella 1–0 13. Jul -20 Salernitana – Cittadella 4–1 7. Dec -19 Cittadella – Salernitana 4–3

Match report

Salernitana Cittadella
6′
🟨 Federico Casolari
8′
⚽ S. Rabbi 0–1
A. Vita
Yayah Kallon 🟨
23′
Mamadou Coulibaly 🟨
23′
32′
🟨 Simone Branca
Half-time 0–1
A. Tello 🔁
↦ M. Coulibaly
46′
D. Verde 🔁
↦ Y. Kallon
56′
56′
🔁 A. Tessiore
↦ S. Branca
60′
🟨 Andrea Cecchetto
61′
🔁 A. Salvi
↦ J. Desogus
61′
🔁 M. Ravasio
↦ A. Cecchetto
J. Braaf 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
69′
D. Bradarić 🔁
↦ L. Njoh
79′
A. Sfait 🔁
↦ D. Valencia
79′
79′
🔁 A. Magrassi
↦ S. Rabbi
79′
🔁 E. Baldini
↦ F. Casolari
Andrés Tello 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Enrico Baldini
92′
🟨 Francesco Amatucci
1–1 F. Daniliuc ⚽
L. Amatucci
93′
1–2 M. Angeli ⚽
own goal
97′
Flavius Daniliuc 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Salernitana

4-3-3
55 L. Sepe G
5 F. Daniliuc D
15 D. Bronn D
4 T. Velthuis D
17 L. Njoh D
8 M. Coulibaly M
73 L. Amatucci M
25 G. Maggiore M
11 Y. Kallon F
9 S. Nwankwo F
14 D. Valencia F
Bench (11)
70 A. Tello
31 D. Verde
24 J. Braaf
3 D. Bradarić
77 A. Sfait
2 D. Gentile
12 F. Corriere
45 R. Di Vico
13 F. Ruggeri
1 V. Fiorillo
99 M. Łęgowski

Coach: G. Martusciello

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
24 L. Carissoni D
64 A. Cecchetto D
4 M. Angeli D
32 E. Masciangelo D
8 F. Amatucci M
5 F. Casolari M
23 S. Branca M
16 A. Vita M
21 S. Rabbi F
11 J. Desogus F
Bench (11)
18 A. Tessiore
2 A. Salvi
91 M. Ravasio
9 A. Magrassi
92 E. Baldini
6 E. Sottini
45 T. Maistrello
10 C. Cassano
78 L. Maniero
29 A. Djibril
28 A. Rizza

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
3,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.