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Serie B

Referee: R Abisso

Mantova

S T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Salernitana

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

80%

100%

Both score Ø 90%

80%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,7

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

7 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 12. · Salernitana 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Juve Stabia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Reggiana	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Cesena	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Mantova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Modena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Carrarese	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Frosinone	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Catanzaro	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Bari	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Modena	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mantova	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.